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-   -   Probability/odds of specific flop (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=340288)

09-19-2005 08:53 PM

Probability/odds of specific flop
 
How would one figure the probability of flopping a specific flop given hand:

me: QQ
opponent: AK
flop: QQK

What is the proper combination formula to figure out what the probability was to flop quads and my opponent to hit one of his over cards?

Thanks!
Dan

timex 09-19-2005 08:58 PM

Re: Probability/odds of specific flop
 
There are 6 possible combinations, QQ and one of 3 kings or 3 aces. There are 48*47*46/6 possible flops= 17296 and when divided by 6 that makes about 1/2883 flops.

E Hanhan 09-19-2005 11:46 PM

Re: Probability/odds of specific flop
 
What about this

what is the probability of in a 7-handed game, any card on the flop being a 6,7,8 only on the flop

LetYouDown 09-20-2005 12:38 AM

Re: Probability/odds of specific flop
 
For at least one 6, 7 or 8 being on the flop (so 8-8-8 counts and 6-7-8 counts):

1 - C(40,3)/C(52,3) = 49.59%

Without knowledge of any cards, the number of players is irrelevant.


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