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-   -   2/4 River Raise... (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=387709)

Weatherhead03 11-29-2005 04:25 PM

Re: 2/4 River Raise...
 
[ QUOTE ]
Am I up against a counterfeited two pair here enough of the time to make this raise on the river?


[/ QUOTE ]

I think you are as long as you fold to a 3-bet. 78/A8/A7 are now toast. I doubt he has a higher Ace as I think he would still 3-bet that PF. I also think 88 and possibly 77 would 3-bet PF.

jba 11-29-2005 04:31 PM

Re: 2/4 River Raise...
 
[ QUOTE ]
I doubt he has a higher Ace as I think he would still 3-bet that PF. I also think 88 and possibly 77 would 3-bet PF.

[/ QUOTE ]

his PFR is only 5%, it's very questionable whether he ever even raises AQ/88/77 let alone 3-bets out of position
99+,AJs+,KQs,AKo

Weatherhead03 11-29-2005 04:51 PM

Re: 2/4 River Raise...
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I doubt he has a higher Ace as I think he would still 3-bet that PF. I also think 88 and possibly 77 would 3-bet PF.

[/ QUOTE ]

his PFR is only 5%, it's very questionable whether he ever even raises AQ/88/77 let alone 3-bets out of position
99+,AJs+,KQs,AKo

[/ QUOTE ]

The 5% really has a lot to do with sample and you cannot really determine whether or not that is a true 5% until a fair amount of hands. In saying that I do agree with you that he would most likely not 3-bet 88 or 77 but I still think AQs would be a 3-betting hand for him. Still, unless we are given how many hands these stats are over its really hard to tell.

SoSo 11-29-2005 06:51 PM

Re: 2/4 River Raise...
 
Not AQ probably, and therfore that was my biggest concern. I Can't see a set here and i doubt he would 3-bet them either i tend to see sets played out of position tending to go for a c/r on turn/river.

Nottom 11-29-2005 07:07 PM

Re: 2/4 River Raise...
 
[ QUOTE ]

60/5 is 3betting AQ,AK,88,77 almost always here


[/ QUOTE ]

60/5 is not 3-betting AQ or 77/88 and often won't 3-bet AK.


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