Quick math question
 

2/4 blinds.

Folded to you in SB w/ K [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

BB has $27. He's average. I have a very tight image.

Is it +EV to push? If not, is it so close that it's worth it for image?

Ryan

Re: Quick math question
 

wellhow often do u think he'll fold? and how often do u think hell call w./ a worse hand?

Re: Quick math question
 

That's what I'm asking the mathies to figure out.

Re: Quick math question
 

OK not getting any help here.

Let's say, just for fun, that he calls with any Ace, any 2 face, any pair.

Is the push right or neutral then?

Ryan

Re: Quick math question
 

Well, i threw it in SNG powertools with that calling range... Not sure if its accurate for ring game situations, but it gave your push as +.5% EV against that calling range. Pretty close to neutral.

Re: Quick math question
 

Ask this same question in probabilities?

Re: Quick math question
 

Easy push.

Re: Quick math question
 

[ QUOTE ]
OK not getting any help here.

Let's say, just for fun, that he calls with any Ace, any 2 face, any pair.

Is the push right or neutral then?

Ryan

[/ QUOTE ]

Any ace, any paint (I included tens), any pair is about 28% of hands.

100-28 = 72% of time he folds.

fold EV = $6 * .72

K3s is about %38 against that range.
call and we lose $29 * .62
calll and we win $33 * .38

EV = ($6 * .72) + ($33 * .28 * .38) - ($29 * .28 * .62) = 4.32 + 3.51 - 5.03 = +$2.80.

The play has an EV of + $2.80.