$50+5 on the bubble, should have called?
 

Seat 5 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 5: Villain#1 ( $2125 )
Seat 6: Hero ( $2195 )
Seat 8: Villain#2 ( $2660 )
Seat 10:Villain#3 ( $3020 )
Blinds(250/500)
Folds around to Hero in the SB
Hero is dealt the A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
Hero goes all in for $1945
Villain#2 calls $1625 with 10 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]10 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

Could someone do an ICM analysis for me on this? I'm perfectly happy with my push, but more wondering if I had been the villain here would I have been smart to call with the tens?

Re: $50+5 on the bubble, should have called?
 

This is an incredibly easy call for the villain. +4.9% if you're pushing maniac, +3.8% for loose. It's hard to find moves with EV that high.

Re: $50+5 on the bubble, should have called?
 

It was a good push and a good call. You ran into bad luck.

Re: $50+5 on the bubble, should have called?
 

I'm always calling in villains spot but I always expect to lose the hand, TT no good for me around the bubble. This looks liek a classic example of the cards dictating the game.

Re: $50+5 on the bubble, should have called?
 

Villain is major +EV to call here.

Bad luck.

Try again. LOL!

Re: $50+5 on the bubble, should have called?
 

With the blinds this big, calling ranges change tremendously. TT is very easy here. I think I'd have a hard time folding a lot of pairs with these blinds.

Re: $50+5 on the bubble, should have called?
 

Just like to point out this conversation prior to this post:

Me: Surely villain can't even consider folding that hand there can he??

Spentrent: of course he can fool, i'd fold there all day long very loose call in my opinion, post on 2+2.

Me: I dunno, he already had 500 in the pot on top of it too.

Spentright: damn you suck, you don't deserve my gawdly advice.

Re: $50+5 on the bubble, should have called?
 

I can't believe you are making fun of a poor soul who quit playing for a living 3 months ago.

Re: $50+5 on the bubble, should have called?
 

ICM is hooey.

Re: $50+5 on the bubble, should have called?
 

[ QUOTE ]
I'm always calling in villains spot but I always expect to lose the hand, TT no good for me around the bubble.

[/ QUOTE ]

Please shut up.