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-   -   Colts/Texans Parley (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=376366)

Hawklet 11-11-2005 12:06 PM

Colts/Texans Parley
 
I figure that there is a reasonable chance that Indy will start the game by running up the score against Houston.

First half lines are -10 and over 23. I see a lot of value in putting a parley on this (AFAIK playersonly allows this).

What do you guys think?

VarlosZ 11-11-2005 12:31 PM

Re: Colts/Texans Parley
 
Sure, but there's also a reasonable chance that Indy will play vanilla schemes until the game is too close too late and they get serious.

Week 5, Indy @ San Fran. 1st half score: 14-0. The over did not come through.

Week 7, Indy @ Houston. 1st half score: 14-14. Indy did not cover.


Just something to think about.

Hawklet 11-11-2005 01:07 PM

Re: Colts/Texans Parley
 
[ QUOTE ]
Sure, but there's also a reasonable chance that Indy will play vanilla schemes until the game is too close too late and they get serious.

Week 5, Indy @ San Fran. 1st half score: 14-0. The over did not come through.

Week 7, Indy @ Houston. 1st half score: 14-14. Indy did not cover.


Just something to think about.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeh thats true. It is an Indy home game though which is different from the examples you gave. I think they may give the home crowd something to watch.

Frills 11-11-2005 03:30 PM

Re: Colts/Texans Parley
 
Trap game, and short week for Indy

Houston has nohing to lose, Carr said in an interview this week that its sad that the coach will get fired cause the players screw up.

All the writing is on the wall.

My bet....HOU +1700

$30 to win $510

DougOzzzz 11-11-2005 04:07 PM

Re: Colts/Texans Parley
 
[ QUOTE ]
I figure that there is a reasonable chance that Indy will start the game by running up the score against Houston.

First half lines are -10 and over 23. I see a lot of value in putting a parley on this (AFAIK playersonly allows this).

What do you guys think?

[/ QUOTE ]

This has to be a highly correlated parlay. The reason is, if Indy -10 wins, that guarantees that at least 11 points were scored in the 1st half. The over has to be much more likely in that case. I am surprised any books would allow this.

However, I think a parlay of HOU +10, UN 23 would be better.


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