Two Plus Two Older Archives

Two Plus Two Older Archives (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/index.php)
-   Probability (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=23)
-   -   AK Hitting A or K by the river 50%? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=363759)

Inevitable 10-23-2005 04:34 PM

AK Hitting A or K by the river 50%?
 
Does that go for every hand? Does 67 hit a 6 or a 7 if it goes to the river, theoretically? If not, what makes it more likely or less likely than AK?

KJL 10-23-2005 05:00 PM

Re: AK Hitting A or K by the river 50%?
 
Yes, AK is just as likely as 67 to pair at least one of its cards.

Inevitable 10-23-2005 05:16 PM

Re: AK Hitting A or K by the river 50%?
 
thanks!

cardcounter0 10-23-2005 07:49 PM

Re: AK Hitting A or K by the river 50%?
 
No, the Aces are more likely to come out because they only have one Pip on them and use less ink to print them, so they are lighter. A card like 6 or 7 has a lot of Pips to form the 6 or 7, a lot more ink, so they are heavier and tend to float down to the bottom of the deck and never see the flop. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

Seriously, a 76 is just as likely to appear on the board as an AK. But look what happens when 76 meets AK:

If both a 6 or 7 appears along with an A or K - the AK hand wins.
If neither a 6 or 7 appears and a A or K doesn't appear - the AK hand wins.
The 76 hand only wins when a 6 or 7 appears, and a A or K doesn't - about 25% of the time.

So that is why you usually raise with AK and fold 67.


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:09 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.