Re: Party\'s $1000000 Touchdown
 

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still very very very wrong 40/40 isnt near 1/100,000 ..

40/40 is basically impossible

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A. He didn't say that. He was trying to compute the odds that someone would get lucky and Party would have to pay the million. Just as the odds of hitting the Lottery is 1 in 50 million (give or take, depending on which Lotto), the odds of somebody hitting it when 10 million play is not 1 in 50 million.

B. Ultimately, the question is not answerable. Because we don't know what type of quesions there will be. The first one is far from 50:50. If the are all roughly 70:30 propositions, the odds of 40/40 is one in a million. Not easy, but not impossible.
If they are all 50:50 props, then 40/40 is one in a trillion. In that case, ok, impossible.

Re: Party\'s $1000000 Touchdown
 

[ QUOTE ]
I was saying if 10,000 people answered all 40 questions. This is probably very high but whether its 1/100,000 or 1/10,000,000, the EV change for them is less then ten dollars.

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Assuming 50:50 quesitons and 10000 people each week answering all 5 questions:

About 300 will get all 5 right, payout of $30,000.
About 1500 will get 4 of 5 right, payout of $75,000.
Total PP payout: $105,000...each week for 8 weeks, for a total payout of about $850K, even if nobody hits all 40.

Re: Party\'s $1000000 Touchdown
 

I played 8 $22 SNGs, which should give me 48 points. I recieved 18 points.


[ QUOTE ]
You know what stinks? You need 30 points the day before to get the question. I played 164 raked hands of PLO8 yesterday, to which I should have been credited 32 points, but only received 28 points for some reason.

I emailed support about it. I can't wait to see the reply I get since I included math in my email.

[/ QUOTE ]

Re: Party\'s $1000000 Touchdown
 

The chances that party even correctly thought about the odds of having to pay-out the million dollars is significantly higher than the chances of them actually paying it out.

Re: Party\'s $1000000 Touchdown
 

hehe

Re: Party\'s $1000000 Touchdown
 

Question #2 12/8/05

Which Team will score first in the game on December 12th?
New Orleans
Atlanta

[img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

Re: Party\'s $1000000 Touchdown
 

[ QUOTE ]
Question #2 12/8/05

Which Team will score first in the game on December 12th?
New Orleans
Atlanta

[img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

LMFAO!

Easy bonus,eh?

Re: Party\'s $1000000 Touchdown
 

So much for the complaints about how hard this will be with all -600 options. The EV is now under the electricity you burn clicking the buttons...

Re: Party\'s $1000000 Touchdown
 

They probably don't make the questions up until they read this board. So yesterday they saw the calculated expected value and decided to make the questions a little tougher. They can manipulate the value of this bonus any time they choose through the difficulty of questions.

Re: Party\'s $1000000 Touchdown
 

Saints vs Falcons - Team to Score First

12/12/05 Saints +175
21:05 ET Falcons -215

It looks like I'm going with the Falcons