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-   -   cap, check/whiff, check/fold (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=405238)

hobbsmann 12-26-2005 03:11 AM

cap, check/whiff, check/fold
 
checking this flop sucks right?

button appeared to be a tag and other guy a monkey over a small sample.

Party Poker 10.00/20.00 Hold'em <font color="#0000FF">(5 handed)</font> link

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, CO calls, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, CO calls, <font color="#CC3333">Button caps</font>, Hero calls, CO calls.

Flop: (12.50 SB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, CO checks, Button checks.

Turn: (6.25 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, CO checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets</font>, Hero folds.

whodaman 12-26-2005 03:19 AM

Re: cap, check/whiff, check/fold
 
yea, bet the flop

12-26-2005 04:31 AM

Re: cap, check/whiff, check/fold
 
Bet flop, you are up against AK so often here and they will call your bet almost always. A of clubs def sucks.

12-26-2005 05:04 AM

Re: cap, check/whiff, check/fold
 
Hobbs, I think the difference between checking this flop and betting this flop are closer than you think. Since any A,K or club on the turn will likely ruin your hand, your equity in this pot will change dramatically with the turn card, which means the correct line of action on the flop is close between these two lines:
1) bet the flop
2) check and call the flop with the intention of donk betting a blank turn card.

IMO betting the flop is only the superior line if you believe the tag will fold AK without a club. If you think the tag will still peel the flop with AK no club if you bet, then the "check/call flop, bet turn blank line" becomes the best strategy IMO since this line will allow you to minimize your investment on the flop when you are likely in a way behind/barely ahead situaion, thus allowing you to fold to a bad turn card(A,K,club) at a minimum cost, or bet out out a turn blank when you are now in a way behind/decently ahead situation) where your equity is much larger than on the flop.

IF I had no read on either opponent I would take the bet flop line. But checking this flop does not "suck" IMO

brazilio 12-26-2005 07:25 AM

Re: cap, check/whiff, check/fold
 
We don't even have 50/50 equity against AK with any club, I'm check/calling the flop and usually donking the turn. I'm not sure the chances of getting him to fold his AK no clubs on the flop is worth it here.

TStoneMBD 12-26-2005 12:32 PM

Re: cap, check/whiff, check/fold
 
checkraise the flop imo. turn is of course a fold.

hobbsmann 12-26-2005 06:37 PM

Re: cap, check/whiff, check/fold
 
I think a third player being in the hand makes getting in a sure bet by leading more appealing than check/calling, but in general I like your thoughts on this hand Wes.

krishanleong 12-26-2005 09:45 PM

Re: cap, check/whiff, check/fold
 
[ QUOTE ]
checkraise the flop imo. turn is of course a fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

same.

Krishan


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