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-   -   77 River bet-fold. (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=369409)

Jeff W 11-01-2005 02:19 AM

77 River bet-fold.
 
Button: 28/8/1 over 160 hands.

Party Poker 20/40 (10 handed)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 raises</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, Button calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP1 calls.

Flop: (10.50 SB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
MP1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, Button calls, MP1 calls.

Turn: (6.75 BB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
MP1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, MP1 folds, Hero calls.

River: (10.75 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, Hero folds.

drbk2 11-01-2005 02:31 AM

Re: 77 River bet-fold.
 
i dont get it, are you doing one of those bet-the-river-because-im-calling-anyway bets? I muck the turn, looks like button either has an overpair or set.

ihardlyknowher 11-01-2005 03:14 AM

Re: 77 River bet-fold.
 
[ QUOTE ]
Button: 28/8/1 over 160 hands.

Party Poker 20/40 (10 handed)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 raises</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, Button calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP1 calls.

Flop: (10.50 SB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
MP1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, Button calls, MP1 calls.

Turn: (6.75 BB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
MP1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, MP1 folds, Hero calls.

River: (10.75 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, Hero folds.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't understand the river bet. I don't see villain calling with anything you beat, and I don't think he is folding a pair of 8s or better.

Jeff W 11-01-2005 03:25 AM

Re: 77 River bet-fold.
 
[ QUOTE ]
I don't understand the river bet. I don't see villain calling with anything you beat, and I don't think he is folding a pair of 8s or better.

[/ QUOTE ]

Okay, what is your river line?

roy_miami 11-01-2005 03:32 AM

Re: 77 River bet-fold.
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I don't understand the river bet. I don't see villain calling with anything you beat, and I don't think he is folding a pair of 8s or better.

[/ QUOTE ]

Okay, what is your river line?

[/ QUOTE ]

If its not check-call then he should have folded the turn...

Jeff W 11-01-2005 03:39 AM

Re: 77 River bet-fold.
 
[ QUOTE ]
If its not check-call then he should have folded the turn...

[/ QUOTE ]

I think the pot is too big to fold a gutshot+set outs+even a small chance he's raising for a free showdown on the turn.

ihardlyknowher 11-01-2005 03:52 AM

Re: 77 River bet-fold.
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I don't understand the river bet. I don't see villain calling with anything you beat, and I don't think he is folding a pair of 8s or better.

[/ QUOTE ]

Okay, what is your river line?

[/ QUOTE ]

I would definitely check-call. But the only hand I see us beating is a busted spade draw. I don't think his turn raise is for a free showdown. I doubt his preflop raising range from MP1 hits that board, unless it's a set.

toss 11-01-2005 04:05 AM

Re: 77 River bet-fold.
 
I may play unimaginatively, but I don't see whats wrong with check/folding the river with villain's aggression factor of 1.

ihardlyknowher 11-01-2005 04:47 AM

Re: 77 River bet-fold.
 
[ QUOTE ]
I may play unimaginatively, but I don't see whats wrong with check/folding the river with villain's aggression factor of 1.

[/ QUOTE ]

The problem is that hero only has 160 hands on villain (not nearly enough for aggression factor to converge). In the Party 20 game, this could easily be a busted flush draw 10% of the time, which he will bet if checked to.

toss 11-01-2005 05:06 AM

Re: 77 River bet-fold.
 
Thanks for answering. So checkcalling would be the best river play? If its a busted flush draw then we gain nothing from betting.


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