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-   -   I can't put this guy on a hand (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=389812)

soah 12-02-2005 07:53 AM

I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
Stars 2/4 6-max. Two calling stations on my left are donking it up big time. I hate my position but they sat down after me and I can't move. And playing OOP against them is still far better than playing at any other table.

Donk #2 limps UTG, two players fold, the button raises to $20. This guy has just been sitting over there staying out of the way, and unless he's a complete idiot he can see that he's going to get looked up by anything by these clowns, so he must have a hand. He should also view me as playing very tight. I'm in the SB with KK. I reraise to $60. Both donks fold. Button takes a little time and calls. He started with around $400.

Flop is KQx. I bet $75, he thinks a little and raises to $150. I carefully push the slider to the far right and raise all-in. He folds for his last $200. wtf??

12-02-2005 07:56 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
AK or AA, correctly putting you on a set?

AcesUp2121 12-02-2005 08:00 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
Maybe he put you on jacks.

fuzzbox 12-02-2005 08:02 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
No way its AA, but AK seems like a winner

yvesaint 12-02-2005 08:05 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
AK

The_Bends 12-02-2005 08:07 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
AK if he's good. JJ/AQ/worse if he's just making a move to test you.

soah 12-02-2005 08:08 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
Only one K left in the deck. If I had QQ it would be a lot more likely that he could have AK.

I just keep alternating between loving the money I made on this hand and being really pissed off that he folded what apparently was a strong hand... at some point. And then I keep wondering if I would have folded the best hand if I hadn't flopped a set and he was just making a move with 77 or something.

yvesaint 12-02-2005 08:14 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
if hes decent i dont see him making any sort of moves with a min-raise on a KQx board against a preflop re-raiser

12-02-2005 08:17 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
If he's bad, I can see it being AQ as well I suppose, or JJ, but he'd have to be pretty bad to call preflop with AQ and to minraise on the flop with either of those hands.

As for AA...I can see a good player lay that down in Helmuthian style. Think about it, if you have AA and you raise preflop, and then you are reraised...you figure villain (who is tight) has AKs, KK, or QQ for the MOST part. Flop comes KQx...so now all he is beating is AK. Is Ak going to play back at him that hard, knowing that villain could have AA? Maybe not...just a possibility heh

12-02-2005 08:22 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 


[/ QUOTE ] Flop is KQx. I bet $75, he thinks a little and raises to $150. I carefully push the slider to the far right and raise all-in. He folds for his last $200. wtf??

[/ QUOTE ]

Just out of curiosity why do you push to his flop raise?

soah 12-02-2005 08:25 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
if hes decent i dont see him making any sort of moves with a min-raise on a KQx board against a preflop re-raiser

[/ QUOTE ]

That's why his fold baffled me.

12-02-2005 08:26 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
why are you so baffled? It could easily just be a poorly played AK hand

soah 12-02-2005 08:27 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Flop is KQx. I bet $75, he thinks a little and raises to $150. I carefully push the slider to the far right and raise all-in. He folds for his last $200. wtf??

[/ QUOTE ]

Just out of curiosity why do you push to his flop raise?

[/ QUOTE ]

Because I had the nuts and thought he'd call.

12-02-2005 08:31 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
But why is that a better play then just calling his raise and hoping he'll fire another barrel on the turn?

soah 12-02-2005 08:36 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
What sort of a hand would push on the turn that wouldn't call it all on the flop?

12-02-2005 08:41 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
Some ppl may think of it as "weaker" to just call, thus they may be more willing to get all their money in.

12-02-2005 08:47 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
I dunno the way I see this hand he opened Pre-flop with something like J10 suited and called your re-raise. He flopped an OESD, so he was smashing with outs (putting you on probably AK and figuring you wont back off it). Your push tells him to forget about drawing because you have the goods. I just don't see him having AA because he didn't go over the top of you pre-flop and I really think he woulda called on the flop. AK is a good possibility but even then IMO he has to have a pretty solid line on you not to call that flop. That's just the way I see things.

djoyce003 12-02-2005 09:22 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
I think AA is his most likely hand and since you reraised he's putting you on KK/QQ at worst AK but given the way you pushed I think he settled for KK or QQ and he made a good fold. I'd have flat called the raise and maybe made a medium sized turn bet and try to make it look more like AK...the push makes what you have fairly obvious and given your description of this player I'd be thinking you won't get his stack that way.

4_2_it 12-02-2005 10:17 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
If he was Hellmuth then he had QQ. If not, he probably had either AK (75%) or JJ(25%) and is a thinking player. With two big fish at the table you can't be surprised that another shark has smelled the chum.

kongo_totte 12-02-2005 10:26 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
He has A A.

Ghazban 12-02-2005 10:32 AM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
I wouldn't worry about it too much. He tried to steal on the cheap (the minraise) and it blew up on him. His raising range preflop in this situation ought to be fairly wide and many players have a hard time folding to reraises even if they didn't have much when they raised (the thinking is usually an overconfidence about the hidden value of their hand and the fact that they have 2 live cards). If you were reraising something like JJ or AQ, he can probably win the pot with nothing by making his puny minraise.

soah 12-02-2005 04:13 PM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
I think AA is his most likely hand and since you reraised he's putting you on KK/QQ at worst AK but given the way you pushed I think he settled for KK or QQ and he made a good fold. I'd have flat called the raise and maybe made a medium sized turn bet and try to make it look more like AK...the push makes what you have fairly obvious and given your description of this player I'd be thinking you won't get his stack that way.

[/ QUOTE ]

Once I call the raise there's $420 in the pot and he has around $190 left.

Leptyne 12-02-2005 04:31 PM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think AA is his most likely hand and since you reraised he's putting you on KK/QQ at worst AK but given the way you pushed I think he settled for KK or QQ and he made a good fold. I'd have flat called the raise and maybe made a medium sized turn bet and try to make it look more like AK...the push makes what you have fairly obvious and given your description of this player I'd be thinking you won't get his stack that way.

[/ QUOTE ]

Once I call the raise there's $420 in the pot and he has around $190 left.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think pushing his raise just gives him a chance to get away. If you smoothcall and lead the turn for $100 how can he get away? I don't see how giving him a look at the turn is going to hurt.

12-02-2005 04:32 PM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
First read, I put him on AK right away.

It's unusual that he has the case king, but hey, it happens.

As for AA...it seems like lot of people will just push preflop after the re-raise. Maybe that's just at the 25-50NL tables I play at though.

DoomSlice 12-02-2005 04:34 PM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
The min-raise seems a whole lot like just a feeler bet, not even considering the results, rather than a sheer display of strength. In situations like this I will push 50% of the time, but also call 50% of the time and then lead the turn for about half his stack.

It has been my experience that people who don't call 3-bets often DO call stop-n-gos.

djoyce003 12-02-2005 04:37 PM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think AA is his most likely hand and since you reraised he's putting you on KK/QQ at worst AK but given the way you pushed I think he settled for KK or QQ and he made a good fold. I'd have flat called the raise and maybe made a medium sized turn bet and try to make it look more like AK...the push makes what you have fairly obvious and given your description of this player I'd be thinking you won't get his stack that way.

[/ QUOTE ]

Once I call the raise there's $420 in the pot and he has around $190 left.

[/ QUOTE ]

so? A decent player is going to fold there if he knows he's beat...it's still $200 to call there and he figures he's drawing practically dead.

soah 12-02-2005 06:18 PM

Re: I can\'t put this guy on a hand
 
My point is that a medium-size bet on the turn is still a push.


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