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-   -   pocket KK vs.pocket AA (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=398582)

mike3076 12-14-2005 09:04 PM

pocket KK vs.pocket AA
 
IN THIS MONTH I HAVE SAT DOWN 2X AND MY FIRST HAND DEALT WAS
POCKET KK. 6 handed, other player had AApocket.

can someone tell me the probabitlity of out of 6 people,
that one of those 6 get dealt pocket KK, and one other gets dealt AA? even if you only know the probability of this happening heads up, please explain. ty.

KenProspero 12-14-2005 09:27 PM

Re: pocket KK vs.pocket AA
 
First, the odds of you getting KK are 1 in 221.
The odds of a specific other player getting AA after you get KK are a little better than 204 to 1, since there are 5 other players in the game, the odds of one of them having AA (with you not having an A) are a little less than 1 in 41.

So, you'll be up against AA roughly once in 41 times that you have KK.

Before a hand starts, the odds of YOU having KK and someone else having AA in a six handed game is roughly 1 in 9026.

Now, onto your question. The odds of anyone having KK and Being up against AA is roughly 1 in 1504. (chances of any one individual having KK is a bit less 1 in 37 (221/6). As already stated, given the existence of a KK holding, the odds of an AA holding are about 1 in 41. Multiply 41 by 37, and you get 1517 (however, without the rounding, it comes closer to 1504).

This is back of the envelop but it should be close enough.


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