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-   -   Near nut river bet (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=160476)

bengali 12-11-2004 07:38 AM

Near nut river bet
 
Its the first time I post a hand here.. please be gentle [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

dont really have a read on villain as I only sat in a couple of hands ago. here we go:

Betsson $50

Omaha Hi $0.50-$1 PL (real money),


villain has my $60 covered.

dealt to Hero: A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img],5 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img],7 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img],6 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

PRE-FLOP
x folds
x folds
x calls $0.50,
x calls $0.50,
Hero calls $0.50,
x checks,
Villain calls $0.50,
x calls $0.25,
x checks.

FLOP [board cards 8 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]4 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ]
x checks,
x checks,
x checks,
x checks,
Hero bets $3,
x folds,
Badguy calls $3,
x folds,
x folds,
x folds,
x folds.

I bet my draw for some added deception if I hit.

TURN [board cards 8 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]4 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ]
Hero bets $8,
Villain calls $8.
nut straight with a nut flush redraw (anyone not bet pot here?)

RIVER [board cards 8 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]4 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ]

The pot stands at $25. How much do I bet in this spot? What is my opponent likely to be holding?
TO beat my straight he must either have 5679 or have gutshotted the flop or turn bet so Im not very worried.
Would you have played any different earlier in the hand?

Smasharoo 12-11-2004 11:02 AM

Re: Near nut river bet
 

The pot stands at $25. How much do I bet in this spot? What is my opponent likely to be holding?


Nothing that beats you is very likely. He could have a set, a wheel that started with a back door flush draw, etc. I imagine he folds to a pot bet here, so I'd try to look like a broken flush draw and either check hoping he bets at it or make a small value bet. Maybe $5.

My money would be on a set of 8's or something.

kipin 12-11-2004 01:24 PM

Re: Near nut river bet
 
On the river I would lead out for about 2x your turn bet ($16) obviously hoping only for a call. In a raise situation I think the stacks are small enough, that even if he reraises you, you should not fold this hand.

If the pot was multiway I think I would check/call this down, assuming the action doesn't get too crazy before it comes back to me.

USS Gut Shot 12-12-2004 12:36 AM

Re: Near nut river bet
 
You are right. It is unlikely your opponent has you beat. However, it is also unlikely he will call a large bet with a hand worse than yours (unless he thinks you are a maniac). If you bet the pot and are called it will usually be a split.

Against an aggressive opponent I would check and give him a chance to bluff. Against a timid opp I would repeat my turn bet.


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