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-   -   Do I suck? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=400822)

AndrewtheBold 12-18-2005 03:25 PM

Do I suck?
 
I have lost over 200 BB in the past two weeks. I know that that is the magic number. However, I am a winning player overall, bringing in over 400 BB at my current limit and over 1000 BB at various limits since I began playing online.
The obvious answer is to reevaluate my game, but here's the catch: I don't believe that my game is off (at least not enough to give my incompetent opponents an edge) and I do believe that I have been dealt very bad cards. Over the past 10,000 hands or so, my VPIP is about 18% (normal for me) and my Win % if Flop is Seen is about 24% (very low for me). On top of that I have a list of bad beats that could fill a book.
So what gives? Can I really chalk up -200 BB to cards or at this point, must there really be a problem in my play that I cannot see?

mtgordon 12-18-2005 03:28 PM

Re: Do I suck?
 
You need to talk a lot more about how many hands you've played and less about how many BB you've won. It's incredibly hard to say one way or the other without knowing how many hands you've played.

AndrewtheBold 12-18-2005 03:42 PM

Re: Do I suck?
 
Total hands: 55900
Losing streak: 10500

Niediam 12-18-2005 03:45 PM

Re: Do I suck?
 
200BB losing streaks are normal. 10,000 hand losing streaks are normal.

Yes, poker sucks.

12-18-2005 04:07 PM

Re: Do I suck?
 
Limit hold em is a cruel cruel game.

Cancuk 12-18-2005 07:08 PM

Re: Do I suck?
 
you suck.

Guthrie 12-18-2005 10:06 PM

Re: Do I suck?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Can I really chalk up -200 BB to cards or at this point, must there really be a problem in my play that I cannot see?

[/ QUOTE ]
Probably both. One magnifies the other.

MicroBob 12-18-2005 10:35 PM

Re: Do I suck?
 
[ QUOTE ]

200BB losing streaks are normal. 10,000 hand losing streaks are normal.

[/ QUOTE ]


True.

Also true is that hot streaks over 40k-50k hands usually indicate just running well and not superior play (or anything close).

Also true is that if you don't already know that 200BB down-swings happen then you probably aren't as good a player as you think you are.
This doesn't necessarily mean you suck though. It does mean that you should evaluating your game and identifying your problem areas/leaks (which you should be doing when your winning as well).

emonrad87 12-19-2005 04:03 AM

Re: Do I suck?
 
You should have someone look over your play and some hand histories. I would be willing to do this, PM me if you're interested.

AndrewtheBold 12-19-2005 06:27 AM

Re: Do I suck?
 
[ QUOTE ]
you suck.

[/ QUOTE ]
Just to clarify, I'm asking whether I am beating my (low limit) game, not whether I could beat yours.


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