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-   -   Aces flop nut flush draw (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=404217)

AcesUp2121 12-23-2005 06:21 PM

Aces flop nut flush draw
 
$1/$2 No limit at the Borgata
Villain has about $300 and Hero covers

Folded to MP who makes it $15 (standard)
Villain in cutoff calls
I make it $65 with A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
Both call

Flop: J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
MP checks, Villain moves in, Hero?

Standard call?

Reef 12-23-2005 06:48 PM

Re: Aces flop nut flush draw
 
yes - I expect to see a J w/ a flush draw more than a set here. Plus, you have outs if behind

pmuir10 12-23-2005 08:31 PM

Re: Aces flop nut flush draw
 
call

Big_Jim 12-23-2005 08:49 PM

Re: Aces flop nut flush draw
 
You're getting about 1.8:1 on your call, here. ($430:$235)

Some odds:
vs. JJ : 1.94:1 (66:34)
vs. K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2.15:1 (68/32)
vs. Two Pair: 1:1 (50/50)
vs. K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]Jx : 1:6 (14/86)
vs. Bluff : 1:49 (2/98)

So, as you can see, if we're behind, we're about a 2:1 dog, which is pretty close to the odds we're getting. Other than that, we're either a coin flip, or a dominating favorite. I think you definately see a draw or a hand weaker than a set often enough to make this a pretty easy call.

cardsharkk04 12-23-2005 09:15 PM

Re: Aces flop nut flush draw
 
no brainer call


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