how many outs do i have?
solid tag - 25/17/2.3 over 3k hands.
Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx Preflop: Hero is Button with T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, BB calls. Flop: (4.40 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, BB calls. Turn: (5.20 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises</font>, |
Re: how many outs do i have?
enough. he has A7/A5/K7/55/little spades a lot more than he has you drawing dead
call turn and call river if a k/t/spade comes. raise/call if you make the second nut flush. if he leads into you when an ace falls you should probably fold but i usually suck too much to do that |
Re: how many outs do i have?
around 7-9 I would think. Its enough anyhow.
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Re: how many outs do i have?
Are we folgind the river UI?
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Re: how many outs do i have?
[ QUOTE ]
enough. he has A7/A5/K7/55/little spades a lot more than he has you drawing dead [/ QUOTE ] The "little spades" part caught my eye here. Of the 9 unseen [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]'s, two thirds of them are smaller than T. Even then there's still a 58% chance you're drawing dead if your opponent has 2 random [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]'s. Just for fun, here's a breakdown of the hands that beat us and the outs we have to win (not chop) weighted by their likelihood. Given the preflop and flop action, we'll rule out AA/KK/AK/K7/77. <font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre> Hand Ways Outs Weighted A5 6 3+9 1.2 A7 6 3+9 1.2 K5 6 5+9 1.4 Ks5 3 5 0.25 55 3 8 0.45 XsYs 36 9*0.42 3.36 ---- ---- 60 7.86 = Total Outs </pre><hr /> So, yeah, we have plenty of outs to see the river. Calling UI? I don't think so. |
Re: how many outs do i have?
[ QUOTE ]
raise/call if you make the second nut flush. [/ QUOTE ] maybe a nitpick but the best we can make is the 3rd nuts. also i typically do not 3-bet the flop here against another tag. |
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