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-   -   Heads Up SNG standard D (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=402913)

12-21-2005 05:18 PM

Heads Up SNG standard D
 
If standard deviation is 6.9 in 10+1 buy-in heads up SNG (60% ITM), what is the risk of ruin and minimum bankroll requirement?

12-21-2005 05:41 PM

Re: Heads Up SNG standard D
 
You need to account for EV in there.
Then fire up google, and look for kelly betting.

12-21-2005 06:03 PM

Re: Heads Up SNG standard D
 
Kelly% = .13

What's the BR requirement given this and the other info I've given in this thread?

jon_1van 12-21-2005 06:09 PM

Re: Heads Up SNG standard D
 
[ QUOTE ]
minimum bankroll requirement

[/ QUOTE ]

Whats your risk tolerence?

12-21-2005 06:13 PM

Re: Heads Up SNG standard D
 
1% possibility of going broke.

Mr_J 12-21-2005 06:31 PM

Re: Heads Up SNG standard D
 
60% win% + 10% vig tells you the ev.

Kelly doesn't work here since we can't adjust the buyin amount.

12-21-2005 06:36 PM

Re: Heads Up SNG standard D
 
So what info are needed to get the BR requirement with only 1% or less chance of going broke in this case?

Chipp Leider 12-22-2005 08:43 AM

Re: Heads Up SNG standard D
 
Kelly still "works", improvising poker players have been using it for years. Bill Chin even wrote an article for the 2+2 mag on the topic not too long ago.

Chipp Leider 12-22-2005 08:45 AM

Re: Heads Up SNG standard D
 
Look for the Sileo/Chen/Weideman/mel3brown formula. BruceZ has mentioned it several times, and even posted his derivation here some time ago.

BillC 12-22-2005 10:31 PM

Re: Heads Up SNG standard D
 
You need about 183 buy-ins if you win .6 buy-ins per tournament. Your risk tolerance pegs you at about .4 Kelly.
The formulas are old and were discovered by the blackjack theory people in the 90's. See our paper at bjmath.com. Copies of my 2+2 mag article are available on request.

Bill Chin


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