Totals analysis MNF
 

I placed 2 wagers a few mins ago:

Over 40.5 $100 to win $104.25 (Matchbook)
Under 41 $107 to win $97.27 (Bowmans)

Risking $2.74 to win $104.25 if 41 hits. 41, I believe, is a fairly common number. However, I don't know how often it hits when the wagerable total is in the vicinity of 41. Are the chances at or higher than my risk here of 2.62%? I gathered from Pinny's buy/sell line prices that it's significantly higher than this.

Re: Totals analysis MNF
 

[ QUOTE ]
I placed 2 wagers a few mins ago:

Over 40.5 $100 to win $104.25 (Matchbook)
Under 41 $107 to win $97.27 (Bowmans)

Risking $2.74 to win $104.25 if 41 hits. 41, I believe, is a fairly common number. However, I don't know how often it hits when the wagerable total is in the vicinity of 41. Are the chances at or higher than my risk here of 2.62%? I gathered from Pinny's buy/sell line prices that it's significantly higher than this.

[/ QUOTE ]

Am I wrong, but isn't your bet on the Under 41 a push if it comes out 41?

edit.. reread and realized i'm an idiot [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] gl on the bet

Re: Totals analysis MNF
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I placed 2 wagers a few mins ago:

Over 40.5 $100 to win $104.25 (Matchbook)
Under 41 $107 to win $97.27 (Bowmans)

Risking $2.74 to win $104.25 if 41 hits. 41, I believe, is a fairly common number. However, I don't know how often it hits when the wagerable total is in the vicinity of 41. Are the chances at or higher than my risk here of 2.62%? I gathered from Pinny's buy/sell line prices that it's significantly higher than this.

[/ QUOTE ]

Am I wrong, but isn't your bet on the Under 41 a push if it comes out 41?

[/ QUOTE ]

It's a soft middle. I win $104.25, not $201.52.

Re: Totals analysis MNF
 

just increased it to

200 to win 208.25 Over 40.5
213.85 to win 194.41 Under 41

Risking 5.59 to win 208.25 (2.68%)

Re: Totals analysis MNF
 

Hope 41 comes up for you.. that's a nice payday for a $5 wager. I'd do the same if I had the cash and accounts on the sportsbooks.

Re: Totals analysis MNF
 

[ QUOTE ]
Hope 41 comes up for you.. that's a nice payday for a $5 wager. I'd do the same if I had the cash and accounts on the sportsbooks.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks. I don't ordinarily do this because it ties up my NFL wagering money. The difference is the payout comes back before I even start betting wk 11.

Re: Totals analysis MNF
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Hope 41 comes up for you.. that's a nice payday for a $5 wager. I'd do the same if I had the cash and accounts on the sportsbooks.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks. I don't ordinarily do this because it ties up my NFL wagering money. The difference is the payout comes back before I even start betting wk 11.

[/ QUOTE ]

24-17 here we come

Re: Totals analysis MNF
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Hope 41 comes up for you.. that's a nice payday for a $5 wager. I'd do the same if I had the cash and accounts on the sportsbooks.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks. I don't ordinarily do this because it ties up my NFL wagering money. The difference is the payout comes back before I even start betting wk 11.

[/ QUOTE ]

24-17 here we come

[/ QUOTE ]

i smell 41

Re: Totals analysis MNF
 

21-20 !!!

Re: Totals analysis MNF
 

Holy farking crap. I am having an awful night, but have been telling myself "at least I'll hit the under" (41).

Not.