Runner\'s ugly NBA picks, week 3
 

Toronto +10 at Philly

Too many again.

YTD 9-11

Re: Runner\'s ugly NBA picks, week 3
 

2 more:

Atlanta +16.5
Utah +10.5

Fading line moves that went too far the other way IMO.

Re: Runner\'s ugly NBA picks, week 3
 

Ugly, ugly, ugly.

Start fading me.

I really like this pick for Wednesday though:

Mil +6 at Golden State

YTD 9-14 [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

Re: Runner\'s ugly NBA picks, week 3
 

I think your Mil pick is solid, and I expect them to get many more than 11 FT attempts this time. Hope you turn it around, Runner, you were doing quite well at the start of the season!

I'm no guru, but one thing I've noticed is that the big underdog teams where a horrible team is facing a great team don't seem to do well when on the great team's home court. Even getting double digit points, the dogs are too likely to get blown out. If you can get double digit points on the road for the fav and on the dog's home court, that's a different story, but it's very hard to get double digits there.

I think your dogs are much better when it's a decent team getting a fair number of points against a little bit better decent team, such as the Mil pick tonight. Sure, they might still get blown out, but there's a much better chance of it being competitive, so it's a better pool to pick your spots from.

Re: Runner\'s ugly NBA picks, week 3
 

I don't like Milwaukee traveling on back-to-back...look where that got Utah last night.

Re: Runner\'s ugly NBA picks, week 3
 

Houston +8 at San Antonio for Thursday. This is a thin value bet, in a Texas shootout that shouldn't be a shootout at all.

YTD 10-14

Re: Runner\'s ugly NBA picks, week 3
 

Houston, backdoor cover!!

2 plays for Friday

Charlotte +13.5 at Indiana (are u kidding me, I think they are overestimating the revenge factor here)
Seattle -2.5 vs Chicago

YTD 11-14

Re: Runner\'s ugly NBA picks, week 3, play for Saturday
 

Nailed down the Friday plays, now looking to get back to .500 with what I feel is a great play.

Cleveland +1.5 at Philadelphia

Both teams played on Friday, but the Cleveland starters got good rest in their blowout. Cleveland is the better team and I believe the wrong team is favored here.

Re: Runner\'s ugly NBA picks, week 3, play for Saturday
 

Pistons +1.5 at pinny.
all other sites have Pistons PK-110. line moving fast.

Re: Runner\'s ugly NBA picks, week 3, added play for Saturday
 

I am staying away from Detroit, Dallas.

Give me Charlotte +10.5 though, on the road against a Minny team that has trouble covering spreads this high.