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-   -   OESD + Flush draw turn decision (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=406935)

12-29-2005 04:27 AM

Re: OESD + Flush draw turn decision
 
[ QUOTE ]

with a draw that good I pot the flop and the turn

[/ QUOTE ]
not when villain leads the turn
if he checks, pot it, you have FE

Fallen Hero 12-29-2005 04:28 AM

Re: OESD + Flush draw turn decision
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

with a draw that good I pot the flop and the turn

[/ QUOTE ]
not when villain leads the turn
if he checks, pot it, you have FE

[/ QUOTE ]

"My plan should be to take a free card on the turn if my flop bet is called and they check to me on a blank right?"

I was responding to this part of the post, it seems we agree

12-29-2005 04:29 AM

Re: OESD + Flush draw turn decision
 
my bad, its getting late and im running cold so im irritable

Maulik 12-29-2005 04:36 AM

Re: OESD + Flush draw turn decision
 
[ QUOTE ]
my bad, its getting late and im running cold so im irritable

[/ QUOTE ]

party poker will love you again.


ppppppppush the flop!

12-29-2005 04:46 AM

Re: OESD + Flush draw turn decision
 
His call raise on the flop doesn't make much sense to me with this many people in the pot.

I think he is as likely to have an 89 for a straight as he to have the full house/quads on the turn.
77: 3 ways
66: 3 ways
55: 1 way
full house/quads total: 7 ways

89: 12 ways
straight total: 12 ways

If he has the straight he takes away 3 of your lower end straight outs and 1 of your higher end straight outs and leaves you with 11 outs for the river. In which case your getting close to the right pot odds to call.

If either one of them has the full house or quads then your not getting the right pot odds to call.

Also someone could have the higher flush draw here. Taking way those 9 outs.

I think that you can fold on the turn. As for the flop, I don't mind the way you played it. The first raise had folding equity and then you had pot odds to call the reraise. I would have favored just calling on the flop rather than trying to semibluff 3 opponents that already called a small bet/raise.

12-29-2005 05:21 AM

Re: OESD + Flush draw turn decision
 
Pushing the flop is not a semibluff, it's a value bet.

Edit: if both villains have sets (at least one is likely), you're flipping. There's dead money in the pot. Easy push.

Escotme 12-29-2005 06:11 AM

Re: OESD + Flush draw turn decision
 
[ QUOTE ]
OK the real numbers are more reasonable
<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre>Board: 7d 5d 5h 6h
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 29.5496 % 29.72% 00.00% { Td8d }
Hand 2: 70.4504 % 70.86% 00.00% { Ac5c }

</pre><hr />
borderline fold, if you think you have implied odds if you hit you can call

[/ QUOTE ]

If I count correctly, villain is putting our hero all-in with that $28 bet, save 25 cents. Not much of implied odds there...

12-30-2005 01:13 AM

Re: OESD + Flush draw turn decision
 
Actual results are I decided to fold the turn and the river was a Th missing my draws. Villian had 89o for the flopped straight. If I know he's got the straight then I make the call but felt the chances of me drawing dead after the turn were enough to make it a fold.


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