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-   -   Party NL 11: How likely will he fold to rr all-in? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=348337)

floppy 10-01-2005 04:31 PM

Party NL 11: How likely will he fold to rr all-in?
 
Villan made a bunch of ridiculous raises at 25/50 level (half to entire stack, 500 to 1000). Weak Aces, perhaps?

Anyway, fast-forward to 75/150. Villan is still being aggressive PF but only about once/orbit:

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t150 (8 handed) internettexasholdem.com

UTG (t890)
UTG+1 (t635)
Villan (t1245)
MP2 (t1030)
CO (t400)
Hero (t1140)
SB (t730)
BB (t1930)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Villan raises to t425</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises all in to t1140</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Villan calls t715.

Flop: (t1365) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>

Turn: (t1365) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>

River: (t1365) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>

Final Pot: t1365

Results in white below: <font color="#FFFFFF">
Villan has 8d 8s (two pair, eights and fives).
Hero has Ah Kh (one pair, fives).
Outcome: Villan wins t1365. </font>

What kind of FE do I have here?

BadMongo 10-01-2005 05:15 PM

Re: Party NL 11: How likely will he fold to rr all-in?
 
Even against a reasonable player, your FE in this situation would be very close to zero. From your description of this guy, I'd say it's definately zero.

floppy 10-01-2005 05:19 PM

Re: Party NL 11: How likely will he fold to rr all-in?
 
So call, nail him if TP hits, or play poker otherwise?

lastchance 10-01-2005 05:26 PM

Re: Party NL 11: How likely will he fold to rr all-in?
 
[ QUOTE ]
So call, nail him if TP hits, or play poker otherwise?

[/ QUOTE ]
You have AK and &lt;10x BB. Push anyway.

BadMongo 10-01-2005 05:28 PM

Re: Party NL 11: How likely will he fold to rr all-in?
 
[ QUOTE ]
You have AK and &lt;10x BB. Push anyway.

[/ QUOTE ]

Uppercut 10-01-2005 07:18 PM

Re: Party NL 11: How likely will he fold to rr all-in?
 
[ QUOTE ]
So call, nail him if TP hits, or play poker otherwise?

[/ QUOTE ]

AKo wants to see all five cards. Push pre-flop.


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