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-   -   Giacomo? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=247670)

Terrabon98 05-07-2005 06:23 PM

Giacomo?
 
didn't see that one coming...

Abagadro 05-07-2005 06:23 PM

Re: Giacomo?
 
Second longest shot in history they said.

ctv1116 05-07-2005 06:29 PM

Re: Giacomo?
 
I'm sure the bookmakers are raking in the dough.

CCx 05-07-2005 06:30 PM

Re: Giacomo?
 
holy sh[/i]it, the superfecta paid 1.7 million!!

dicelumpY2005 05-07-2005 06:31 PM

Re: Giacomo?
 
I hit my ticket on the "field" at 2-1 in pool 1 of the future wagering. Big deal...$50 to win on the field gets me a $100 profit, but I bet $60 or so in gimmick bets with Bellamy Road...whopping profit of $40 for this race...

CCx 05-07-2005 06:41 PM

Re: Giacomo?
 
i wonder if it's possible to bet on biggest/ugliest woman's hat - jeez, they look ridiculous!

largeeyes 05-07-2005 07:36 PM

Re: Giacomo?
 
Superfecta = top 4 finishers, right?

CCx 05-07-2005 07:39 PM

Re: Giacomo?
 
yup

Wintermute 05-08-2005 01:16 AM

Re: Giacomo?
 
If you buy every possible $2 superfecta in a 20-horse field, it should cost:

$2 * 20 * 19 * 18 * 17 = $100k, give or take a few thou.

So it seems to me, if you have a crapload of money, this isn't a horrible bet... if a long longshot wins once in 15 years, you break even-ish. The only time you lose is when the favorites all come through?

Am I missing something or do others agree with this analysis?

BTW, I got raped this year's derby. WTF is this 50:1 longshot [censored].

Brown Thumb 05-08-2005 02:50 AM

Re: Giacomo?
 

[ QUOTE ]
34922893-1
5 12:46pm
12-Feb-05 7-May-05 Future Horses: Kentucky Derby - Odds To Win- DH c... +2860 20.00 572.00
Odds To Win- DH counts as win
Kentucky Derby - no refund on scratch
Giacomo

[/ QUOTE ]


[ QUOTE ]
39323072-1
24 2:37pm
7-May-05 7-May-05 Horses
Tri. Box Churchill, Race #10
3.Sun King, 9.Greeley's Gal... 210.00 -210.00
(210 x 1.00) 3.Sun King, 9.Greeley's Galaxy, 11.High Fly, 12.Afleet Alex, 14.Wilko, 16.Bellamy Road, 18.Closing Argument

[/ QUOTE ]

My friends and I went in 7 ways on the tri-box. We each picked a horse.

I had bet Giacomo back in February, he floundered in all his prep races.

So ... the horse I decided to put in at the last minute, instead of Giacomo was #14 Wilco.

If I would have put ol' #10 down instead of 14, the group cashes a 70k ticket.

It was very hard to cheer when I found out I hit for $570 (especially since I only got 28 - 1 on future book).

That is one reason my name is Brown Thumb.


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