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-   -   22: We got a bleeder! (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=400556)

curtains 12-18-2005 07:03 AM

Re: 22: We got a bleeder!
 
I would always complete this preflop for half a bet. The flop you can check raise of course, but you have basically zero folding equity. No one raises to 250 there and folds to the allin. The good news is you are usually 50% at laest, and there is some dead money in the pot.

tigerite 12-18-2005 07:06 AM

Re: 22: We got a bleeder!
 
Hmm the problem with preflop is you only have 725 chips though, and a complete puts you on 700 with a pot of 200 preflop (always assuming the BB does not raise). The odds are probably okay to do it, just maybe a bit thin. You're probably right though and in a game situation I'd complete anyway, just wondering if it is correct mathematically.

curtains 12-18-2005 07:07 AM

Re: 22: We got a bleeder!
 
I suspect that it is...its half a bet!! 7-1 odds! A lot of good things can happen and very few really bad things.

bennies 12-18-2005 07:12 AM

Re: 22: We got a bleeder!
 
[ QUOTE ]
...and very few really bad things.

[/ QUOTE ]
like getting allin against A [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] on this flop...

Anyway, I like completing here too, it's fun!

curtains 12-18-2005 07:13 AM

Re: 22: We got a bleeder!
 
I dont think we are as big a dog to A2h as you might think. My guesstimate is we win 30%-35%...now I look it up.

Please note when I made my guess I thought the 4 and 3 were hearts...giving us the 7 of hearts as an out.I slightly lower my estimate....running it now.



Ok, we win 28.3% of the time. If the 4 and 3 were hearts instead of the jack, we win 32.6% of the time. Yeah its not beautiful, but as a worst case scenario its not terrible either.


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