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-   -   things don't look good (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=382499)

joker122 11-21-2005 04:57 AM

things don\'t look good
 
all i have are stats: 25.8/18.7/2.47 over 180 hands.

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, SB calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (6 SB) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP bets</font>, SB calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, MP calls, SB folds.

Turn: (5.50 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises</font>, Hero calls.

River: (9.50 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>

hero? [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

imported_leader 11-21-2005 05:14 AM

Re: things don\'t look good
 
I'm 3-betting this a decent amount PF. 19 PFR is a lot. My instinct is to 3-bet the turn. I'm not sure that's right however. If I had played it as you did, I would c/c the river.

wheelz 11-21-2005 05:16 AM

Re: things don\'t look good
 
A9 = 6 combos
KJ = 3 combos (say he bets river half the time?)

you beat 9 combos

AK = 6 combos
AQ = 6 combos
KK = 3 combos
99 = 3 combos
JJ = 1 combo
AA = 1 combo
QT = 12 combos

you lose to 32 combos

3.5:1, actually seems like an easy check-call. so easy that i think i must've done something wrong. but maybe it's just that easy.

MrBig30 11-21-2005 05:20 AM

Re: things don\'t look good
 
[ QUOTE ]
3.5:1, actually seems like an easy check-call. so easy that i think i must've done something wrong. but maybe it's just that easy.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think it is.

admiralfluff 11-21-2005 05:23 AM

Re: things don\'t look good
 
I think your ranges are off.

With the 3rd player left to act behind villain, he's almost never just calling the flop raise with AK, AQ, or A9 and rarely with the sets. Given it is an MP open, K9s is also a definite possibility. Maybe sometimes he slowplays the sets, but he's closer to 2:1, which is still a pretty easy check-call.

wheelz 11-21-2005 05:25 AM

Re: things don\'t look good
 
they're not the best ranges, but yeah looks like it doesn't matter so much.

joker122 11-21-2005 05:26 AM

Re: things don\'t look good
 
iight cool. it got checked through and he showed A9.

joker122 11-21-2005 05:28 AM

Re: things don\'t look good
 
"3.5:1, actually seems like an easy check-call. so easy that i think i must've done something wrong. but maybe it's just that easy. "

i might include AT in that range.


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