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-   -   117k 6-max break even streak. (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=403608)

gila 12-22-2005 06:30 PM

117k 6-max break even streak.
 
http://img332.imageshack.us/img332/4323/ppgraph9sx.jpg

Wow, this is fun.

whodaman 12-22-2005 06:36 PM

Re: 117k 6-max break even streak.
 
wow..... and i thought my ~20k hand streak was tough

gildwulf 12-22-2005 07:15 PM

Re: 117k 6-max break even streak.
 
ahhhhh, that's like all the six-max hands I've played in my entire life

baronzeus 12-22-2005 07:15 PM

Re: 117k 6-max break even streak.
 
[ QUOTE ]
ahhhhh, that's like all the six-max hands I've played in my entire life

[/ QUOTE ]

Me too. Sucks man. Hope it turns around [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

antifish225 12-22-2005 07:24 PM

Re: 117k 6-max break even streak.
 
not to be a pessimist - but that looks like a 23k very hot streak followed by your normal win rate - and maybe I AM TOTALLY offbase on that so do not be offended (not sure your LT WR), however that is a terribly long streak for it not to be a statistical miracle (assuming a 2BB/100 win rate that is)

RunDownHouse 12-22-2005 07:26 PM

Re: 117k 6-max break even streak.
 
If you don't mind me asking, how many hands/month do you play?

As someone who has to strive to get 10k/mo., this terrifies me.

bobbyi 12-22-2005 07:37 PM

Re: 117k 6-max break even streak.
 
Is this all the same game? Or did you kill one limit and then move up and not do so well at the next level?

gila 12-22-2005 07:48 PM

Re: 117k 6-max break even streak.
 
[ QUOTE ]
not to be a pessimist - but that looks like a 23k very hot streak followed by your normal win rate - and maybe I AM TOTALLY offbase on that so do not be offended (not sure your LT WR), however that is a terribly long streak for it not to be a statistical miracle (assuming a 2BB/100 win rate that is)

[/ QUOTE ]

You could very well be right, in fact, I am starting to think that myself. However, much of the downswings on that graph are at 10/20 6-max (-3bb/100 in aprox. 7000 hands). If I just filter out the 7000 hands of 10/20 it looks a little better (170,000 of these hands are at 5/10). And this graph is in BB instead of $$.


http://img527.imageshack.us/img527/8639/below0fy.jpg

gildwulf 12-22-2005 07:51 PM

Re: 117k 6-max break even streak.
 
Hmm...that original graph is pretty misleading then. It sounds like you just took a 7k shot and got burned and that crushed your winrate.

gila 12-22-2005 07:51 PM

Re: 117k 6-max break even streak.
 
[ QUOTE ]
If you don't mind me asking, how many hands/month do you play?

As someone who has to strive to get 10k/mo., this terrifies me.

[/ QUOTE ]

35.000-50,000

DalaiLama 12-22-2005 11:46 PM

Re: 117k 6-max break even streak.
 
holy hell.

BoxTree 12-23-2005 05:43 AM

Re: 117k 6-max break even streak.
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
If you don't mind me asking, how many hands/month do you play?

As someone who has to strive to get 10k/mo., this terrifies me.

[/ QUOTE ]

35.000-50,000

[/ QUOTE ]

Your retinas hate you.

antifish225 12-23-2005 07:04 AM

Re: 117k 6-max break even streak.
 
That is a totally differnt picture without those 7k - looks like a solid win rate at 5-10 with a failed shot at moving up - which happens to everyone - fwiw - it took me 3 shots to make 10-20 6 max my usual game - with the number of hands you play and your win rate i am sure you will have the roll to soot again soon - good luck man

gila 12-23-2005 12:01 PM

Re: 117k 6-max break even streak.
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
If you don't mind me asking, how many hands/month do you play?

As someone who has to strive to get 10k/mo., this terrifies me.

[/ QUOTE ]

35.000-50,000

[/ QUOTE ]

Your retinas hate you.

[/ QUOTE ]

I play about 20 hours a week. It is not so bad. My eyes used to hurt worse when I had a CRT and played smaller stakes full games; then I would play about 30-35 hours a week.

gila 12-23-2005 12:04 PM

Re: 117k 6-max break even streak.
 
[ QUOTE ]
That is a totally differnt picture without those 7k - looks like a solid win rate at 5-10 with a failed shot at moving up - which happens to everyone - fwiw - it took me 3 shots to make 10-20 6 max my usual game - with the number of hands you play and your win rate i am sure you will have the roll to soot again soon - good luck man

[/ QUOTE ]

Yea, I have took three shots already. Those big dips on the first graph at 70, 90, 164 are all 10/20 shots, the last two dropoff however were both at 5/10 with the last one pushing 350 BB's. Yuck.

jba 12-23-2005 12:26 PM

Re: 117k 6-max break even streak.
 
hey dude, a couple weeks ago I was at +$14 over 100k hands. pretty much the same 5/10-10/20 [censored] as you.

Sponger15SB 12-23-2005 12:33 PM

Re: 117k 6-max break even streak.
 
[ QUOTE ]
hey dude, a couple weeks ago I was at +$14 over 100k hands.

[/ QUOTE ]

Ouch. That makes my +1.6bb over 14,000 hands look like I was crushing the game.


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