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 12-30-2005 04:29 PM

gapper probability questions

holding suited 1 gap max. stretch QT-53
flop a completed straight .92%
probability of flopping 8 out straight draw is 5.29%
" " 4 out inside draw is????
" " 8 out D.B.B draw is????
finally
holding suited 2 gap max. stretch KT-52
flop a completed straight .61%
probability of flopping straight 8 out straight draw 2.79%
" " 4 out inside draw???
" " 8 out D.B.B. draw???
some body should be chargeing for all this.

 timex 12-30-2005 05:54 PM

Re: gapper probability questions

I haven't figured out these numbers before, but I'll assume yours are correct. With a one gap, lets say 79, you will hit an open-ender with 68x, 8Tx, you will hit a gut shot with 8Jx, 85x, 56x, or TJx, so twice the odds of an open-ender(10.58%), you will hit a belly buster with 58J, 356, or TJK(if you count all belly-busters), so about (4/48) *(3/2) *(5.29) = 0.78% or so.

Use the same process for two gaps.

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