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-   -   AA vs. an unkown... (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=408296)

Coolidge 12-31-2005 04:33 PM

AA vs. an unkown...
 
A1/2

I don't know this guy...

Hero is UTG with A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

PREFLOP -
Hero raises, folds to BB who calls.

FLOP - 2 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]3 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
BB bets, Hero raises, BB 3-bets, Hero caps.

TURN - J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
BB bets, Hero calls

RIVER - J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
BB bets, Hero raises, BB 3-bets, Hero calls

Thoughts/comments? Anybodys line different?

Str8Fish 12-31-2005 04:39 PM

Re: AA vs. an unkown...
 
I would cap the river. He could easily have 22/33 on flop. He could easily have 3-anything on turn.

Str8Fish 12-31-2005 04:43 PM

Re: AA vs. an unkown...
 
hmm maybe I take that back... I ran this through Pokerstove...

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

70,330,609 games 53.718 secs 1,309,255 games/sec

Board: 2c 3d Jd Jc Jh
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 25.4303 % 25.60% 00.00% { AcAd }
Hand 2: 74.5697 % 75.08% 00.00% { 33-22, AJs, KJs, QJs, J2s+, 32s, AJo, KJo, QJo, J2o+, 32o }

12-31-2005 04:50 PM

Re: AA vs. an unkown...
 
str8fish, I don't know if BB is calling with J2o or J2s among other hands. and 32o? maybe 32s? This is a pretty broad range of hands to put villian on.

*This isn't a steal situation, hero is UTG. You need to tighten up those hands a "little" bit.

12-31-2005 04:54 PM

Re: AA vs. an unkown...
 
That being said, if you don't believe he has a jack why not raise on the turn? I could probably fold to that 3bet.

Coolidge 12-31-2005 05:03 PM

Re: AA vs. an unkown...
 
I thought he might have a J on the turn, I also thought I could just as easily be ahead. So, I just called. Maybe I shoulda 3-bet. When the 3rd J hit the river, I thought he did not as likely have a J, and I thought I had the best hand again. His 3-bet scared me so I called.

I don't know. I'm a fish.

Str8Fish 12-31-2005 05:03 PM

Re: AA vs. an unkown...
 
yea, you're right. The more I reduce the hands I put into Pokerstove that don't have a Jack, the more it seems as if he's screwed. Seems as if you're beat.

12-31-2005 05:16 PM

Re: AA vs. an unkown...
 
[ QUOTE ]
I thought he might have a J on the turn, I also thought I could just as easily be ahead. So, I just called. Maybe I shoulda 3-bet. When the 3rd J hit the river, I thought he did not as likely have a J, and I thought I had the best hand again. His 3-bet scared me so I called.

I don't know. I'm a fish.

[/ QUOTE ]
Yeah and when you capped the flop and he bet into you on the turn. Not a good sign [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

12-31-2005 05:20 PM

Re: AA vs. an unkown...
 
[ QUOTE ]
yea, you're right. The more I reduce the hands I put into Pokerstove that don't have a Jack, the more it seems as if he's screwed. Seems as if you're beat.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think KK and QQ are a possibility on the flop as well. You would hope BB is raising this, but a lot of people don't.

Coolidge 12-31-2005 05:24 PM

Re: AA vs. an unkown...
 
So, was my line retarded?


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