Two Plus Two Older Archives

Two Plus Two Older Archives (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/index.php)
-   Sports Betting (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=38)
-   -   World Series game 4 (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=365733)

sublime 10-26-2005 06:31 AM

World Series game 4
 
Just like game 3 (see thread where i mistake how low juice works [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]), there is only one 'correct' side in this game.

After last nights game, the entire square betting world says to themselves 'this series is OVER'. Pinny then throws out a HOU +110 line (it actually was lower, but I dont have the opener, the +110 line is from like 15 minutes after the game). Now Pinnacle is a sharp book. They know whats going to happen then they release their #, its going to get bet heavy on the CWS side. So what do they do? Inflate the line before they even release it. So +110 already has extra value in it for the dog bettor.

The line is now +128 and rising. I double dare anybody to say to me they are going to bet the white sox today!

mrbaseball 10-26-2005 10:29 AM

Re: World Series game 4
 
[ QUOTE ]
I double dare anybody to say to me they are going to bet the white sox today!


[/ QUOTE ]

Don't fade destiny! That said I probably won't bet this game. I won't even cap it but this line is probably close to fair.

Food for thought. 21 times a team has won the first 3 games of a World Series. 16 of those times that team won game 4. That's 76% of the time. Fluke? Perhaps. But a dead duck is usually a dead duck and there probably isn't any value whatsoever in the Astros tonight. Besides Garcia is a step up in class from Backe and is the ultimate road warrior.

sublime 10-26-2005 11:31 AM

Re: World Series game 4
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I double dare anybody to say to me they are going to bet the white sox today!


[/ QUOTE ]

Don't fade destiny! That said I probably won't bet this game. I won't even cap it but this line is probably close to fair.

Food for thought. 21 times a team has won the first 3 games of a World Series. 16 of those times that team won game 4. That's 76% of the time. Fluke? Perhaps. But a dead duck is usually a dead duck and there probably isn't any value whatsoever in the Astros tonight. Besides Garcia is a step up in class from Backe and is the ultimate road warrior.

[/ QUOTE ]

down to +119

Feltin Licter 10-26-2005 12:26 PM

Re: World Series game 4
 
Martingale the Sox starting tonight !

beset7 10-26-2005 02:20 PM

Re: World Series game 4
 
I think I'm going to stay away from this game all together unless the Astros get up over +130 then I'll take them for half a unit. Thoughts? the best line I can find right now is +120ish.


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:17 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.