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-   -   Does bad luck look like this? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=404979)

12-25-2005 01:45 PM

Does bad luck look like this?
 
Hey, I need some help. It seems like apparently lately I've been not making ANY money at poker. All I have is fluctuations but no steady income. I play $0.25/$0.50 10-Handed LHE on PokerStars. I've been playing for quite a while now.

Here are some of my PT stats.
Hands: 11,845
VP$IP: 17.11
VP$SB: 27.10
Folded SB to Steal: 90.24
Folded BB to Steal: 77.97
Att. to Steal Blinds: 21.27
W$WSF: 29.29
BB/100: 2.08 (This at one point was up to 5)
WTSD: 29.97
W$SD: 57.14
PFR%: 7.98

My Aggression:
Pre-Flop: 0.72
Flop: 2.98
Turn: 2.64
River: 2.35
Overall AF (w/o Preflop #'s): 2.69

Any other stats you think might help diagnosing whats wrong w/ my play, please ask and I'll gladly post them up.

I'm a somewhat avid Cardplayer Forum user, and unsurprisingly, I use the PokerAnalyst that the site offers. Heres a graphical display of my record at $0.25/$0.50 LHE.

http://www.geocities.com/aznstutter47/PokerAnalyst.jpg

Also, since 11/27, I've been keeping an excel spreadsheet of my daily performance. I dunno if this will help either.

PokerIncome Spreadsheet

Basically nothing seems to be going right. Just yesterday, I lost $35 over 368 hands, thats 70BB. The tables just seem to keep breaking up so I kept having to leave tables in the red, but it seemed like I never got lucky. I've put a lot of information up, but I sort of want to put down the hand history of every hand that I lost more than the BB. Okay well please help!

bisonbison 12-25-2005 01:49 PM

Re: Does bad luck look like this?
 
I've played 12k hands in one day. Your sample is not the long run. Hell, the baby Jesus once had a 30k hand losing patch, and he knew what cards were coming.

I would suggest posting actual hands so that we might comment on how you actually play.

shant 12-25-2005 01:51 PM

Re: Does bad luck look like this?
 
You're in a breakeven stretch. You can't run at 5BB/100 for very long. 2BB/100 is still good, and it's only been 11,000 hands. Just keep playing. I once had a 3 month breakeven stretch, and even though I play less hands per month than most people here, that's still way sicker than a 5,000 or so hand breakeven stretch. Keep playing and come back at 50,000 or 100,000 hands and let's see how you're doing.

P.S. You could be a little looser preflop, raise a little more, and steal more, but your stats are not that bad at all.

12-25-2005 05:46 PM

Re: Does bad luck look like this?
 
I dont know about stars, but .25/.5 is quite beatable on party. It might be because they only offer it for beginners.
You can play within 45 days of the first deposit. I played 3k hands there and the overall SF% is more than 40%. If it's the same on stars, I think you VP$IP is a bit low. You might try to play more hands. Just my 2 cents [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

nomadtla 12-25-2005 05:53 PM

Re: Does bad luck look like this?
 
[ QUOTE ]
(This at one point was up to 5)


[/ QUOTE ]

So you went on a good streak and now variance is leveling you out. You're still in the black so I think I speak for everyone who's bottomed out worse when I say Enjoy it. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

nomadtla 12-25-2005 05:55 PM

Re: Does bad luck look like this?
 
And for what it's worth. Posters who complain about stats and varience should not look like this
[ QUOTE ]
Reged: 12/25/05
Posts: 1


[/ QUOTE ]

Not being picky but post some hands and interact here before you come just for a warm christmas pick me up cause you're having a "bad run"

Guthrie 12-25-2005 09:09 PM

Re: Does bad luck look like this?
 
Bad luck looks nothing like that. Trust me.

Wizard0965 12-25-2005 10:28 PM

Re: Does bad luck look like this?
 
Yeah if you wanna see some bad luck check out some variance posts in the other forum (brags, beats, and variance)


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