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-   -   Clarkmeister theorem checkup, among other things (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=394651)

Rubeskies 12-09-2005 01:54 AM

Clarkmeister theorem checkup, among other things
 
Villain is 48/20/1.8
UTG is unknown

My question is two-fold.

1.) Looking back now I think I probably should have 3-bet the turn right?
2.) The way I played it, should I Clarkmeister this river?


Party Poker 10/20 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is BB with 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG calls, MP calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB completes, Hero checks.

Flop: (4 SB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises</font>, MP calls, SB folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, UTG calls, MP calls.

Turn: (6.50 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises</font>, MP folds, Hero calls.

River: (10.50 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero?

kiddo 12-09-2005 03:38 AM

Re: Clarkmeister theorem checkup, among other things
 
With those stats u probably should 3bet turn.

What is a clarkmeister? If it is calling a bet, u should do it, specially since u didnt 3bet/got capped on turn.

If it is bet, hope he folds, u shouldnt (of course, it cant be that I guess).

TMFS9 12-09-2005 03:40 AM

Re: Clarkmeister theorem checkup, among other things
 
yeah, I think you must bet/fold the river, and I think 3 betting the turn might be close depending.

Rubeskies 12-09-2005 03:58 AM

Re: Clarkmeister theorem checkup, among other things
 
[ QUOTE ]

What is a clarkmeister?

If it is bet, hope he folds, u shouldnt (of course, it cant be that I guess).

[/ QUOTE ]

The Clarkmeister is betting when out of position on the river when the fourth flush card hits if you are planning on calling a river bet anyway.

TMFS9 12-09-2005 04:00 AM

Re: Clarkmeister theorem checkup, among other things
 
[ QUOTE ]
If it is bet, hope he folds, u shouldnt (of course, it cant be that I guess).


[/ QUOTE ]

It's bet/fold the river because most worst hands will check behind but might call a bet, while better hands will bet. Therefore in this situation IMO check/calling is the worst of your options.

josh1122 12-09-2005 04:09 AM

Re: Clarkmeister theorem checkup, among other things
 
I think this is an easy turn 3bet, your ahead here most of the time and have odds to catch up if not.

Given the way you played it, I think I like check/call the river given that he is rather LAG (But I have never been really comfortable with the Clarkmeister so Im not so sure about this line).

josh1122 12-09-2005 04:12 AM

Re: Clarkmeister theorem checkup, among other things
 
EDIT: [censored] my bad, I read villian is 48/20/1.8 and assume that UTG is the villian.

Why did you refer to someone else as villian when UTG is the only one with action in the hand?

kiddo 12-09-2005 05:26 AM

Re: Clarkmeister theorem checkup, among other things
 
[ QUOTE ]
It's bet/fold the river because most worst hands will check behind but might call a bet, while better hands will bet. Therefore in this situation IMO check/calling is the worst of your options.

[/ QUOTE ]

I also thought villain had 40/20/2, against such a player I dont like betting this river and folding if he raises. If he is really aggressive he could raise 2pair on river, hoping we fold small flush.

But ok, lets say he is unknown:

A set is a really strong hand, u are saying check-call river is worst option. But isnt not seeing showdown against unknown player with a set headsup worst option?

If we had a read on this player as predictable, ok, I can see a bet-fold. But against unknown?

Isnt clarkmeisters theorem about when we bet all way and river puts 4flush on board? Not when we are raised on turn by a possible flush (but maybe something else)? Im asking, I dont know. (but it seems to make more sense)

Rubeskies 12-09-2005 05:37 AM

Re: Clarkmeister theorem checkup, among other things
 
Oops, my mistake.

UTG is the one with the stats, MP is the unknown. Sorry for the confusion.

It is my understanding that the Clarkmeister theorem is betting when the fourth flush card comes regardless of the action, even if you've been raised as long as you were going to call a bet anyway. There are exceptions to the theorem vs. various players and I was wondering if this is one of them.

ArturiusX 12-09-2005 05:40 AM

Re: Clarkmeister theorem checkup, among other things
 
Unless I'm up against a habitual bluffer here I play it the same.


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