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brad 02-25-2003 11:27 PM

prediction for time of start of war
 
obviously 3/3/03. not only numerological nightmare (ok i just picked an n work it sounds good) (remember nancy reagan anybody?) but also a new moon.

i would have to say at least a 10-1 favorite

MMMMMM 02-26-2003 12:30 AM

Re: prediction for time of start of war
 
So can I pick 10 other days against 3/3/03 and we'll have an even money bet? Or if you insist on having the edge, how about I pick 9?

brad 02-26-2003 12:33 AM

Re: prediction for time of start of war
 
ok

MMMMMM 02-26-2003 12:43 AM

Re: prediction for time of start of war
 
OK I'll pick 3/01/03, 3/02/03 and the seven days immediately following 3/03/03 and we'll use Greenwich Mean Time. The bet will be for a buffet dinner if we ever should meet, and of course if it should fall on any other day it's no bet--how's that?

brad 02-26-2003 01:03 AM

Re: prediction for time of start of war
 
ok but i get a reasonable fudge factor since im not an astrologist or whatever. i dont know whether they use greenwich, EST, local iraqi time, or whatever.

this might mean i get like 40 or 48 hours or whatever i dont know. (+-12?) you can have the week before and week after if you want.

MMMMMM 02-26-2003 01:11 AM

Re: prediction for time of start of war
 
OK how's this then: we'll go by GMT and you get the 12 hours on either side of 3/03/03 as well, which should more than cover any time difference. Since you're now getting 48 hours instead of 24 I'll take the two days prior and the 12 days after.

brad 02-26-2003 01:13 AM

Re: prediction for time of start of war
 
okay

nicky g 02-26-2003 11:49 AM

Re: prediction for time of start of war
 
English newspaper said their money was on the night of 04/03/03, as the previous campaigns in Afghanistan and Iraq have always begun on moonless nights. I can't see how the diplomatic wrangling will be done by then, though.

marbles 02-26-2003 02:42 PM

Re: prediction for time of start of war
 
"English newspaper said their money was on the night of 04/03/03"

--I assume this means March 4th, and not April 3rd? International dates always look screwy to me.

adios 02-26-2003 02:52 PM

Re: prediction for time of start of war
 
Don't think it will happen until after March 7. Blix has a date at the UN.


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