Pocket pair hits OESFD: Odds
 

The purpose of this post is to show chance-to-win % for hands like this. If you don't find that kinda information useful, then you can stop reading now. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

Summary: If you've got an OESFD, then villain better not be ahead of you now and have one of your flush outs. If he doesn't have a trump card higher than yours, then call away.

Villain is 62/9.5/7.0. He's been at the table maybe two orbits. When the bet came to me on the flop, I wondered what my chances were. So, I ran some numbers. First the hand:

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $.25 BB ($25 max, 5 handed) converter

Button ($31.91)
SB <font color="#A500AF">(villain)</font> ($24.75)
BB ($25.60)
UTG ($20.80)
Hero ($21.65)

Preflop: Hero is MP with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG calls $0.25, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $1</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB (villain) calls $0.90, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG calls $0.75.

Flop: ($3.25) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
villain checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets $2</font>, Hero calls $2, <font color="#CC3333">villain raises all-in to 23.75</font>, UTG folds, Hero ...

Now, for my chances to win:

vs made straight with K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]: 6.26%
vs nut flush: 11.62%
vs underflush: 31.72%
vs A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]: 33.43
vs TPTK with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]: 33.84%
vs higher straight: 38.18%
vs lower straight: 38.18% (higher chance to tie tho)
vs top set: 43.03%
vs bottom set: 49.09%
vs top two pair: 54.55%
vs A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]: 59.39%
vs TPTK, no club: 60.20%

I was a major dog to everything except hands that didn't include a club -- including sets. I could actually call if he had a set. I was nearly good against already made straights, which sucked one of my T outs, but not quite good enough.

Does he have one of the higher clubs? Cuz if not, I can call.