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-   -   What's my move here? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=407210)

mcguw 12-29-2005 04:29 PM

What\'s my move here?
 
Stars $20+2 180 person tournement. Currently 17 left, and I am in sixth place. Top 4 all over 30,000T. Payout structure is heavily stacked towards top 3 finishers with 10-18 place recieving only $43.20. What's my move here?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t800 (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

UTG+1 (t30099)
MP1 (t2057)
MP2 (t27063)
MP3 (t11140)
CO (t14712)
Button (t9550)
SB (t28100)
Hero (t20034)
UTG (t30745)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises to t2400</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t9500</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero ?</font>

OrcaDK 12-29-2005 04:37 PM

Re: What\'s my move here?
 
I'm pushing here. MP2 can easily have AT+, button might also very well have AQ+, including pairs 77-AA. I think we're probably in a coinflip most of the times here, but isn't that ok, provided that we're really aiming at top 3?

12-29-2005 04:38 PM

Re: What\'s my move here?
 
push

12-29-2005 04:50 PM

Re: What\'s my move here?
 
[ QUOTE ]
I'm pushing here. MP2 can easily have AT+, button might also very well have AQ+, including pairs 77-AA. I think we're probably in a coinflip most of the times here, but isn't that ok, provided that we're really aiming at top 3?

[/ QUOTE ]

If we push I have a hard time seeing us being in a coinflip situation against MP2 since I think he will only "risk" alot of his stack here with QQ, KK and AA and QQ isn't really likely since we have it. I don't really know about the standard in these sng's but I don't think he will call 2 all ins with AK here risking alot of his stack. I push this expecting MP2 to back of unless he have us beat and we are hopefully ahead of Button but that sure isn't necessary, we have him covered and a nice hand, I don't fold here.

mcguw 12-29-2005 04:51 PM

Re: What\'s my move here?
 
Would it make any sense to stop challenging bigger stacks, and bully the small stacks into the final table?

illegit 12-29-2005 04:55 PM

Re: What\'s my move here?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Would it make any sense to stop challenging bigger stacks, and bully the small stacks into the final table?

[/ QUOTE ]
No.

mrkilla 12-29-2005 05:08 PM

Re: What\'s my move here?
 
Easy Push take mp2 out of this hand.

I don't think you can fold here unless you have perfect read on these guys and can smell the AA/KK.

everything else you are ahead of.

Calling only here is the worst option IMO.

mcguw 12-29-2005 05:12 PM

Re: What\'s my move here?
 
That's what I thought. I busted out on this hand with a pf push. This was my second 20+2 tourney. It actually feels pretty good to know that I lost making the correct play.

PFrese 12-29-2005 05:56 PM

Re: What\'s my move here?
 
Push. And do not be suprised when one of them flips over KK or AA.

Pasterbator 12-29-2005 06:20 PM

Re: What\'s my move here?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Push. And ABSOLUTELY BE suprised [if] one of them flips over KK or AA.

[/ QUOTE ]

FYP.

Art Vandelay 12-29-2005 06:56 PM

Re: What\'s my move here?
 
Barring some sort of read on MP2 that makes me fear AA or KK I'm pushing this. He opened raised the pot from MP3, that range is fairly wide depending on your read and QQ looks good to me. The button's push looks like he's making a stand and getting involved in the pot for him means committing all of his chips.

I push hoping to drive MP2 out and get it heads up with the button. If MP2 calls I curse my luck because I'd guess he's only calling with hands that have us beat unless we are lucky and he calls with AK, JJ, or TT (which I think is a bad call).


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