Running bad vs playing bad: what stats would be revealing?
 

A lot of times I get into a grey zone where I think I am running badly, but am afraid that I'm fooling myself and I'm actually just playing badly.

I wish there was some kind of index or series of indexes you could calculate from hand histories to tell you if you're running hot or cold.

I can think of three off the top of my head:

1) hand distribution: are you getting your fair share of good preflop hands?

2) all-in results: when you get it all-in preflop and are called, are you winning your fair share of the time?

3) running into monsters: when you push with N players left to act, are you running into strong hands more than is statistically expected?

I am thinking about writing a little program to "mine" for this data from hand histories.

Can you guys think of any other obvious ones that are easy to calculate?

eastbay