Two Plus Two Older Archives

Two Plus Two Older Archives (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/index.php)
-   Probability (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=23)
-   -   Standard Deviation for VPIP? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=392664)

Spicymoose 12-06-2005 02:32 PM

Standard Deviation for VPIP?
 
I am trying to figure out when I can have good approximations of my VPIP stat on opponents. For example, if I see someone has a VPIP of 90 after only 20 hands, although my sample is small, I usually think that their true VPIP has to be at least over 40 50% of the time. If their VPIP is 60 after 50 hands, I also think they are pretty loose.

Is there anyway to get an approximation for a confidence interval of VPIP after X hands? I would like to know how confident we can be after 10, 20, 50, 100 hands.

Thanks,
Spicymoose

P.S. I play 6-handed incase that would make a big difference.

Girchuck 12-08-2005 03:53 PM

Re: Standard Deviation for VPIP?
 
Take VPIP from all of your sessions, and calculate the SD for them.
That should give you a very good estimate of true SD of your VPIP, which you can use as a starting point.
Then do the same for your opponents with most hands and sessions in your database. See how the numbers go.
Find the average.


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:32 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.