Probabilit of Getting the Exact same hand twice
 

This happened to me at the Mirage on sunday...I was dealt 6c3h in successive hands?? What are the chances of that happening??

Sorry, guys, I mucked both preflop [img]/forums/images/icons/smile.gif[/img]

Re: Probabilit of Getting the Exact same hand twice
 

1 in 52*51/2 = 1 in 1326.

Re: Probabilit of Getting the Exact same hand twice
 

It happens a lot. I'm still waiting for 3 in a row. I have gotten the same hand 3 times within an hour recently

Re: Probabilit of Getting the Exact same hand twice
 

"1 in 52*51/2 = 1 in 1326."
I concur. Note that if you play 1000 hands (which doesn't take all that long, particularly if you're an online player), it most likely WILL happen at least once (p=.53).

Re: Probabilit of Getting the Exact same hand twice
 

And if you play 1326 hands, it will happen 63.2% of the time which is approximately
1 - 1/e since (n-1)/n is approximately 1/e for large n.

what\'s the approximation???
 

Bruce,
what's the relationship you're using? I'd just like to know, since it's obviously not (n-1)/n approx 1/e for large n.

Re: what\'s the approximation???
 

Oops, sorry. Make that [(n-1)/n]^n = 1/e for large n. This is the probability of something not happening in 1/p tries if the probability of it happening each try is p. So in this case we have (1325/1326)^1326 = 36.8% = probability of not getting 2 in a row in 1326 tries.

3 in a row
 

Happend to my friend when he was playing on true poker.