99.
 

Villain's PT notes:

{{Icon: Slightly LP preflop, but Agg postflop.
Hands: 55
VP$IP: 25
PFR: 4
W$SD: 100
Agg-Factor: 3.3}}

He took a while before calling my flop bet.

-----
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (7 handed)

BB ($103.75)
UTG ($103.10)
MP1 ($48.50)
MP2 ($50)
CO ($30.35)
Hero ($56.25)
SB ($151.85)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. MP2 posts a blind of $0.50.
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP2 (poster) checks, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2.5</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP2 calls $2.

Flop: ($5.75) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
MP2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $3.5</font>, MP2 calls $3.50.

Turn: ($12.75) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
MP2 checks, Hero checks.

River: ($12.75) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
MP2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $8</font>
-----

Re: 99.
 

nicely played.

Re: 99.
 

What hand are you trying to get to fold here, TT? JT maybe? What other hands could he be on here that fold and have you beat?

Re: 99.
 

I'd probably take the opportunity to check behind on the river here... hands you beat are unlikly to call you here.

Re: 99.
 

[ QUOTE ]
I'd probably take the opportunity to check behind on the river here... hands you beat are unlikly to call you here.

[/ QUOTE ]

ditto, to make this kind of move I think you need more of a read than the 55 hands you have

either more hands or something you've seen him do to make you think he can lay down a J here.

Re: 99.
 

Heh, I'm not betting for value, kids.

Re: 99.
 

[ QUOTE ]
either more hands or something you've seen him do to make you think he can lay down a J here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Exactly, I'd tried this move a few times when I first started playing SSNL online, and couldn't push people off their hands. I don't both playing fancy here I just check behind, the first loss is the best loss...

Re: 99.
 

He's not a fish. I think I've played with him a few times. The PT stats aren't hands I've played, they're hands form my miner. He's nothing special, but not awful.

Re: 99.
 

[ QUOTE ]
He's not a fish. I think I've played with him a few times. The PT stats aren't hands I've played, they're hands form my miner. He's nothing special, but not awful.

[/ QUOTE ]

If he's good enough to believe your flop bet was merely a continuation bet, and that you now MUST have hit your ace and he can lay down a jack, then good play. I just think overall this sort of play is -EV at SSNL so I seldom try it.

Re: 99.
 

[ QUOTE ]
He's not a fish. I think I've played with him a few times. The PT stats aren't hands I've played, they're hands form my miner. He's nothing special, but not awful.

[/ QUOTE ]

It seems like you are best qualified to answer your own question here, as it comes down to your read on his play.

From what I know, he doesn't seem tight enough for you to make the bet, but you know more about him than me.