Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 

Thoughts? Long-overdue correction? Short-term aberration?

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 

Coming into today I had the year at 59 favs, 53 dogs, 1 pick and 2 pushes. Hardly an aberration.

Dogs did take a beating today though, particularly home dogs. Well, the masses win and the books lose sometimes. Give it time and things will even out. Nine weeks is too small a sample size.

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 

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Coming into today I had the year at 59 favs, 53 dogs, 1 pick and 2 pushes. Hardly an aberration.

Dogs did take a beating today though, particularly home dogs. Well, the masses win and the books lose sometimes. Give it time and things will even out. Nine weeks is too small a sample size.

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I had faves at 61-51-3 going into today, with 1 pick'em. I do think 9 weeks is too small a sample and hope you're right kdog.

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 

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Thoughts? Long-overdue correction? Short-term aberration?

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When you're pushing small edges as in sports betting, 9 weeks is not much of a sample size. I do not believe any favored team lost today, and most covered. This week just looked to go to be true for us that primarily fade the public. The BSPs got their revenge though.

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 

Just some bad luck for the dogs. The record ATS for favorites is statistically not that unlikely.

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 

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Just some bad luck for the dogs. The record ATS for favorites is statistically not that unlikely.

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Meanwhile, I am getting absolutely killed. I'm more or less at a loss right now.

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 

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Just some bad luck for the dogs. The record ATS for favorites is statistically not that unlikely.

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Meanwhile, I am getting absolutely killed. I'm more or less at a loss right now.

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I feel your pain. Lousy year for me too, so far.

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 

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Thoughts? Long-overdue correction? Short-term aberration?

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you're just way, way overdue on being a square

join the party

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 

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Thoughts? Long-overdue correction? Short-term aberration?

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you're just way, way overdue on being a square

join the party

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[img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

I've bet one road fave all year -- Cinci -3 at the Bears. Of course it won...along with 2 of every 3 other road faves in 2005. ~puke~

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 

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Short-term aberration?

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Doesn't seem nearly as likely anymore.