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-   -   Bad Risk / Reward? i.e. Spewing? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=283445)

Catt 06-30-2005 03:03 AM

Bad Risk / Reward? i.e. Spewing?
 
Primary Villain is unknown. Sat down about 15 hands before and seems to like to see the flop and has a lot of misplaced aggression (though a very small sample, obviously). I've seen him raise a gutshot against a calling station and call down (including the river) without hitting. The open-limper is lame and predictable.

Too small a pot to raise-fold the flop? Given he has shown one incident, over a small sample, of calling down with a missed draw, too expensive to make this play OOP with two streets to come?

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is BB with 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls, MP calls.

Flop: (6.40 SB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, MP checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>.

donger 06-30-2005 03:41 AM

Re: Bad Risk / Reward? i.e. Spewing?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Primary Villain is unknown. Sat down about 15 hands before and seems to like to see the flop and has a lot of misplaced aggression (though a very small sample, obviously). I've seen him raise a gutshot against a calling station and call down (including the river) without hitting. The open-limper is lame and predictable.

Too small a pot to raise-fold the flop? Given he has shown one incident, over a small sample, of calling down with a missed draw, too expensive to make this play OOP with two streets to come?

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 5 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is BB with 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls, MP calls.

Flop: (6.40 SB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, MP checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think this boad screws you against this guy's range, and he sounds donkey enough to call you down with a medium pocket pair here. I think if he had open-raised, the play might be better becauae there's a lot more hands you're ahead of. For someone who 'likes to see flops,' raising a limper usually indicates strength.

Based on your read, I would proably fold and look for a better spot.

EDIT: Also, the misplaced aggression means you could be folding a few winners here as well, which makes it less cut and dried to fold to further aggression from him.


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