A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
 

4-handed.
effective stacks 2k.

hero: A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]

hero opens utg to 70.

solid player that is likely a winner in this game but seems to be weak lately calls on the button.

FLOP: 4 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]-7 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]-2 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (pot:170)

hero leads for 190.
button pauses, goes all in for 1800.

hero calls quickly.

thoughts?

Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
 

9sTs is a 55% favorite. A pair as hefty as 55 is an 80% favorite. Hands like 8s7s and As7s have hero just destroyed.

Not sure what you were hoping for, chuddo. This looks like a very tilty play.

Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
 

This seems like a math question. My wild ass guess at his range is the following:

Set -- 5%
Overpair -- 15%
Flush draw with overs -- 30%
Combo straight and flush draw -- 25%
Air -- 25%

Where does that leave you?

Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
 

My thoughts are WTF is wrong with you?

So he had a 53 spades and missed? Still a brutal call.

Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
 

[ QUOTE ]

thoughts?

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If he has something he has you close to a coin flip or destroyed.

If he has nothing you can accomplish your goal with a much smaller bet.

Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
 

obviously you put him on air... but my fear is how often youd lose to air here.

putting a guy on a 'range' given this massive overbet requires a bit of help from the gods. you hope he has AK? do you really want to get this much money in there against him if he has any two spades/overcards (QsJs, maybe)? and god forbid he has a pair, and youre in there with 5 outs. i think this call is crazy, unfortunately he probably has to take this down with his air...

Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
 

hero hates money

Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
 

Good thing I hit the river again!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!




























































i kid.

Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
 

kane, your pm box is full. clear it out.

Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
 

I've given this some more thought and decided that if you're doing stuff like this, you're playing out of your league. You've probably had a good run of cards and think you are a good player, but you obviously are not.

I think you should move down a few levels, read some books and watch less WPT.

Best of luck.