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-   -   When to give up with the nut flush draw (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=284504)

jakbse 07-01-2005 04:58 PM

When to give up with the nut flush draw
 
Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 calls, Hero calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls, UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (12.50 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(6 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 bets</font>, Hero calls, CO folds, BB calls, UTG folds, UTG+1 folds.

Turn: (7.75 BB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 bets</font>, Hero calls, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 3-bets</font>, Hero calls, <font color="#CC3333">BB caps</font>, MP1 calls, Hero calls.

On theturn I have nine outs to the nut flush and the pot is 9,75 BB when the action comes to me the first time. I should call, no problem. When BB starts raising I put him on something between a big two pair and a house. But I canīt possibly find a fold except on the river where Iīm sure an overcall is a misstake.

River: (19.75 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, MP1 calls, Hero folds.

Final Pot: 21.75 BB

davelin 07-01-2005 05:04 PM

Re: When to give up with the nut flush draw
 
Fine

Baloosh 07-01-2005 05:10 PM

Re: When to give up with the nut flush draw
 
If I'm counting it right, the crazy turn action gives you 9.75:1 the first time, and 14.75:2 the second time (~7.5:1) and then 18:1 on the final bet. Is that right? Overall it's 31.75:4 total for the turn, or almost 8:1.

Barring you drawing dead to a FH, you'll hit your nut flush more often than they'll hit their gutshot (with two pair to fill up). BB's initial c/r then cap would be the only thing scaring me. Did you have any reads on him?

jakbse 07-01-2005 05:16 PM

Re: When to give up with the nut flush draw
 
BB was 41/11/1,42

bozlax 07-01-2005 05:22 PM

Re: When to give up with the nut flush draw
 
Why not raise the flop? Face the field with calling 2?

The way you played it, I think you folded in the only place you could.

Baloosh 07-01-2005 05:23 PM

Re: When to give up with the nut flush draw
 
Hmmmm..somewhat loose and not too aggressive. Your only real decision is whether or not to call the two cold on the raise and re-raise... since if you do that, you're automatically calling a cap as well, if that happens... which it did.

If this is wrong, I don't think it's very wrong. If it's right, I don't think it's very right, either. Someone who's a lot better at poker than I am will chime in, I'm sure.

davelin 07-01-2005 05:26 PM

Re: When to give up with the nut flush draw
 
[ QUOTE ]
Why not raise the flop? Face the field with calling 2?

[/ QUOTE ]

Why do we want to do that?

Vote4Pedro 07-01-2005 06:10 PM

Re: When to give up with the nut flush draw
 
anyone else raising this preflop?

istewart 07-01-2005 06:11 PM

Re: When to give up with the nut flush draw
 
Yup.


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