Two Plus Two Older Archives

Two Plus Two Older Archives (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/index.php)
-   Sports Betting (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=38)
-   -   Is it just me, or is the STL-HOU line off? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=354868)

lastchance 10-10-2005 09:29 PM

Is it just me, or is the STL-HOU line off?
 
Stl -200
Hou +170

The 3 Aces of Houston means that they're better than 37% to win this, right?

mrbaseball 10-10-2005 09:42 PM

Re: Is it just me, or is the STL-HOU line off?
 
I think StL is getting a bit too much respect. The 3 aces of Houston should make it a very close and competitive series meaning a Houston bet at these prices has plenty of value.

Often the books get loaded up with futures bets from preseason favs (ie StL) and mid season frontrunners (ie StL) meaning they are up to their eyeballs with StL action before the lines for the series are even out meaning thet will skew the line because they are already loaded up on one side. The heavy preseason favs (Bos, NY, StL) always get this kind of action as do sentimental favorites (Cubs, Bos).

NajdorfDefense 10-10-2005 10:58 PM

Re: Is it just me, or is the STL-HOU line off?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Stl -200
Hou +170

The 3 Aces of Houston means that they're better than 37% to win this, right?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, but maybe not by much. +160, +155 feels about right. +170 seems a little high given Stros pitching and clutch hitting last series.

naj

NajdorfDefense 10-25-2005 12:27 AM

Re: Is it just me, or is the STL-HOU line off?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Stl -200
Hou +170

The 3 Aces of Houston means that they're better than 37% to win this, right?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, but maybe not by much. +160, +155 feels about right. +170 seems a little high given Stros pitching and clutch hitting last series.

naj

[/ QUOTE ]

10-5-1 on O/U and won 2.6 units on Angels. 33.6-17 for 16.6 units on MLB DS. -1 unit on Padres makes it +15.6.
Also have Angels WS bet at +850 or so. I think they take the White Sox even on short rest.

Had 2 units on Stros to beat STL makes me +3.4 units, minus the unit on Anaheim for +2.4 units plus 15.6 above makes me +18 units for MLB playoffs.

Thinking about ChiSox for game 3, no wagers yet.

Naj


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:13 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.