Noob football plays this weekend
 

A buddy and I are slowly attempting to make +EV sports bets. We play a lot of poker and we're starting out for much smaller stakes than we play poker. Anyway, without saying who's who, here are some bets we made for the weekend. What do you think? and you do you think made out better?

A
LSU vs. Alabama Under 37
Notre Dame -24 over Navy
Oregon -4.5 over WSU

B
LSU -3 over Alabama
3 Team Parlay:
Notre Dame -24 over Navy
USC -19.5 over Cal
U. Arizona -13.5 over Washington

Both of us
UCLA -3.5 over ASU
Indianapolis -17.5 over Houston

Re: Noob football plays this weekend
 

Parlays in general are -EV. You don't get compensated enough for the risk that you take. Unless the plays are correlated (like a side + over/under), most winning players stay away from parlays.

Re: Noob football plays this weekend
 

That being said, I have plays on LSU, Navy, USC, Arizona, and ASU. Really like ASU, LSU, and Arizona. At best I think the Notre Dame line is accurate, meaning no value. I'm waiting for some steam to possibly take the Texans tomorrow.

Re: Noob football plays this weekend
 

I don't like the oregon Pick. Washington State's got a nice little team there that can put up some points. Oregon could be caught looking ahead to next week.