me folding an A high flush
 

villian is solid from what I've seen...19/5 after 300 hands

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) internettexasholdem.com

MP2 ($194.75)
MP3 ($208.35)
Hero ($226.50)
Button ($79.65)
SB ($330.55)
BB ($149.20)
UTG ($212.25)
UTG+1 ($432.05)
UTG+2 ($211.85)
MP1 ($261.25)

Preflop: Hero is CO with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $1.
<font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP1 calls $2, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Hero calls $2, Button calls $2, SB (poster) completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($10) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 bets $8</font>, Hero calls $8, Button folds, SB folds, BB folds.

Turn: ($26) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">MP1 bets $15</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $45</font>, MP1 calls $30.

River: ($116) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">MP1 bets $100</font>, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $216

Re: me folding an A high flush
 

I prob call here.

Re: me folding an A high flush
 

I fold, if he can read hands at all your hand is very transparent from the turn action.

Re: me folding an A high flush
 

terrible fold. he probably has KQ or QJ with a diamond.

Re: me folding an A high flush
 

Why would a solid opponent who I am guessing can read hands bet $100 dollars on this river with the second nut flush? He is only going to be called or raised by better hands. I think that he has a fullhouse more often than not.

Re: me folding an A high flush
 

I like a raise on the flop.

Re: me folding an A high flush
 

Tough fold, I think I would've called though. He called pf from EP, would he have done it with Q9? Or did he hit a set on flop. Toughie.. I guess you'll have other chances later, but I don't think I could've laid it down.

Re: me folding an A high flush
 

[ QUOTE ]
terrible fold. he probably has KQ or QJ with a diamond.

[/ QUOTE ]

His play is not at all consistent with those hands, especially given his stats. QJo is probably a fold preflop with 19 VP$IP from MP1, and a big bet on the river makes no sense with either hand. Whether those hands would call the turn raise is also debatable.

Even if we know for a fact he'd play those hands this way, there are only four possible combinations of KdQx and QxJd, while there are six combinations of sets (not counting QQ). This would make the river a very thin call. But I think those assumptions are far too generous toward KQ and QJ, and if they are given a more appropriate weighting then the river quickly becomes a fold.

Re: me folding an A high flush
 

I gotta call this getting 2to1. He could just be using the scare card to bluff you off the best hand. He may hold the Kd. Lotta hands besides a FH he could hold.

Re: me folding an A high flush
 

[ QUOTE ]
I gotta call this getting 2to1.

[/ QUOTE ]

You're getting 2-1, but given villain is pretty much a nit, what is he pot betting on the river given the turn action?