Please help me out - protect or gamble?
 

I'm a lurker here, but I gotta make a post on this one.
Early in a Private $10+1 at Stars 88 people entered, 9 get paid. 65 players left, I'm in about 8th.


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (8 handed) converter

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

CO (t2870)
Button (t1885)
SB (t960)
BB (t3355)
<font color="#C00000">Hero (t3125)</font>
<font color="#C00000">UTG+1 (Villian) (t4795)</font>
MP1 (t1545)
MP2 (t1955)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t150</font>, UTG+1 (Villian) calls t150, <font color="#666666">6 folds</font>.

Flop: (t375) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t250</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Villian raises to t500</font>,

I put him on one spade here. If I push and I'm wrong I still have outs to a boat. But, my question is, is it better to push here knowing your at least a 70% favorite if he only has 1 spade - or is it better to only call and then push the turn if any non-spade falls.

If he didn't have me covered I automatically push here but with a decent stack this early in the tournament is it worth gambling against someone who has you covered?

Re: Please help me out - protect or gamble?
 

im leaning towards a push here.

Re: Please help me out - protect or gamble?
 

Go Tarzan and risk the flush
http://garaje.ya.com/spido/tarzan.jpg

Re: Please help me out - protect or gamble?
 

If you think he's going to fold to a push on the flop, why would you call and then push on a non-spade turn? That's seems like the only way to let him get there on the turn. If your pushing, push now so he doesn't get to see a turn.

Peace

Goodie

Re: Please help me out - protect or gamble?
 

push
nice size pot at the time you push with BB still 50
if he calls with one spade, you fav
if he calls with made flooosh, got the outs to the boat

Re: Please help me out - protect or gamble?
 

I think I push here. If he's made his flush im thinking he'll call you bet instead of raising, hoping that you're drawing dead. Calling here and then turning a spade will put you in a huge hole.