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-   -   (NC) I just joined the 10 game OOTM in a row club (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=362327)

splashpot 10-21-2005 09:15 AM

(NC) I just joined the 10 game OOTM in a row club
 
Let's see how long I keep this streak going.

EricW 10-21-2005 09:20 AM

Re: (NC) I just joined the 10 game OOTM in a row club
 
[ QUOTE ]
Let's see how long I keep this streak going.

[/ QUOTE ]

i thought you played lots dude? you JUST went 10 OOTM?? I've had 5 of those in the past 828 games.

tigerite 10-21-2005 09:28 AM

Re: (NC) I just joined the 10 game OOTM in a row club
 
I've had 14, or something, and over 10 at least 3 times I can remember. In fact it might have been 17. Damned if I remember now.

splashpot 10-21-2005 09:30 AM

Re: (NC) I just joined the 10 game OOTM in a row club
 
I've only been playing a lot for 3-4 months. I've got about 2000 games. I guess I've been lucky that I haven't hit this til now?

EricW 10-21-2005 09:37 AM

Re: (NC) I just joined the 10 game OOTM in a row club
 
[ QUOTE ]
I've only been playing a lot for 3-4 months. I've got about 2000 games. I guess I've been lucky that I haven't hit this til now?

[/ QUOTE ]

Wow you luck box [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

2000 games and just your first 10 OOTM streak? Perhaps a math guy like tigerite can figure out what the chances of playing 2000 games without a 10+ OOTM streak is (let's assume that splashpot's ITM % is 39% for this little experiment).

splashpot 10-21-2005 09:50 AM

Re: (NC) I just joined the 10 game OOTM in a row club
 
Ended at 10. I just came in 2nd.

unreal_nh 10-21-2005 10:22 AM

Re: (NC) I just joined the 10 game OOTM in a row club
 
hmmm... try 4/0/1/32. that includes ootm streaks of 12 and 14. I WIN! [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

1C5 10-21-2005 10:40 AM

Re: (NC) I just joined the 10 game OOTM in a row club
 
26 is my record.

meanjean 10-21-2005 10:45 AM

Re: (NC) I just joined the 10 game OOTM in a row club
 
[ QUOTE ]


Wow you luck box [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

2000 games and just your first 10 OOTM streak? Perhaps a math guy like tigerite can figure out what the chances of playing 2000 games without a 10+ OOTM streak is (let's assume that splashpot's ITM % is 39% for this little experiment).

[/ QUOTE ]

at 40% ITM there is a 0.6% chance of ten consecuative OOTM finishes...so about 11 to 1 against...

did I do that right? .6 expodential 10=.006...2000*0.006=12

downtown 10-21-2005 10:48 AM

Re: (NC) I just joined the 10 game OOTM in a row club
 
[ QUOTE ]
26 is my record.

[/ QUOTE ]

Low content post follows:

Ha, funny, I've never looked for these streaks before, I've just looked at overall downswings.

It appears from my records that I once had 13 OOTM, then a 3rd, then 12 OOTM. This was when I played the 33s, so I doubt that the 50 bucks for 3rd in the middle there did too much for my confidence at the time. This started my worst downswing ever of -34 buyins. [img]/images/graemlins/shocked.gif[/img] I think I've had -10 buyins a couple of times at the 55s, but I try not to pay attention to things like that anymore. Try not to, at least.


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