I think this is right but scuba disagrees
Game No : 3272946676
***** Hand History for Game 3272946676 ***** NL Texas Hold'em $30 Buy-in + $3 Entry Fee Trny:18664529 Level:6 Blinds(100/200) - Wednesday, December 28, 00:51:23 EDT 2005 Table Table 68111 (Real Money) Seat 5 is the button Total number of players : 4 Seat 1: elcheapo23 ( $1617 ) Seat 3: hueys46 ( $4540 ) Seat 5: wnlake5 ( $930 ) Seat 10: Scuba_Chuck ( $913 ) Trny:18664529 Level:6 Blinds(100/200) ** Dealing down cards ** Dealt to elcheapo23 [ Kh 3d ] >You have options at Table 66918 Table!. hueys46 folds. wnlake5 folds. Scuba_Chuck is all-In [813] elcheapo23 calls [713]. ** Dealing Flop ** [ 9d, Jd, Th ] ** Dealing Turn ** [ 7s ] ** Dealing River ** [ Jh ] Scuba_Chuck shows [ Ts, Td ] a full house, Tens full of jacks. elcheapo23 shows [ Kh, 3d ] a pair of jacks. Scuba_Chuck wins 1826 chips from the main pot with a full house, Tens full of jacks. >You have options at Table 66918 Table!. Game #3272948674 starts. 713 to win 1826 and scuba needs to push here. This is a nobrainer and yet he berates me for this call. |
Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
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713 to win 1826 and scuba needs to push here. This is a nobrainer and yet he berates me for this call. [/ QUOTE ] Well, take the 713 back out of that 1826. You're being laid 1113:713, which isn't nearly as attractive. Add in the other severe shorty, and I'm pretty sure your crappy K isn't going to perform well enough to make calling here good. So I think this is poor. EDIT: I'll preempt curtains and point out that this is an SNGPT question if there ever was one. If you don't have it, this isn't a very tough situation to ICM, but I'm lazy and tend to answer based on my intuitions from the time when I actually looked at these kind of things. Serious pushbot minutia aren't so important in regular Stars STT's, at least at low buyins. |
Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
I call this in a flash.
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Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
EZ fold. Fishy call.
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Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
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713 to win 1826 and scuba needs to push here. This is a nobrainer and yet he berates me for this call. [/ QUOTE ] Except it's not 713 to win 1826. It's 1113 in the pot, 713 to call. You're kinda calculating winning your 'calling' chips back into the equation. You're getting 1.56:1 here, not 1826:713 as you seem to be implying. |
Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
If I fold I'm still midlevel stack. If shortstack had 500 or 600 then the fold would be easier but I think this is the right call because if I'm in scuba's shoes you don't even look at your cards and push
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Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
Based on what? What a joke.
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Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
I actually see 713 to win 1113 (you cant count the money you havent put in the middle yet) I don't like the call. While he's probably pushing with a very wide range, K3o is defintiely behind.
ICM says : If he's pushing as many as 75% of hands, its still -EV to call with K3o. |
Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
what if its 90%
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Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
LOOKS LIKE I AM 2 MINUTES TOO LATE.
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Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
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Based on what? What a joke. [/ QUOTE ] Easy there GtrHtr. I think I'd fold, but calling is hardly ridiculous. After all, against many players, K high is likely the better hand. And you're getting decent odds. |
Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
If he is infact pushing 90% of hands, its slighty +EV to make the call. But its still something i will not be doing.
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Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
If you know he is pushing any 2 you should be calling around top 50%.
Of course, if he knows you think he will push any 2 and will call with top 50%, he should only push about the top 30%. The difference between pushing any 2 and pushing top 30% is the reason you should never let a 2+2er know you are one. |
Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
haha, ur right, dude just gets under my skin. EZ fold tho
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Follow up
I say he pushes any two and even at top 75% its marginally bad. I've folded my blind more than my share this game and scuba knows pushbot I'd assume so this is at worst a below average call.
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Re: Follow up
Dude, you are (were) 2d stack. Horrible call.
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Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
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Based on what? What a joke. [/ QUOTE ] Meh. Instead of doing the math myself, I took his word for what the ratio was. I was way wrong apparently. Whoops. |
Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
good man, gl in miami, sorry to be so harsh.
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Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
thats alot of assumptions for a pretty dire situation and he may not know I'm a 2+2er before this hand
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Re: Follow up
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Dude, you are (were) 2d stack. Horrible call. [/ QUOTE ] Scuba's range is any two. Calling an any 2 range with K3o is +1.1% $EV. Still horrible? |
Re: Follow up
I had 16 and 2 other stacks had around 10. If I had 2k or they had less then I would fold. i thought the percentages were on my side and I was maybe marginally wrong.
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Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
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good man, gl in miami, sorry to be so harsh. [/ QUOTE ] please. i've had citanul rip into me before. i even insulted SNCB knowing his cronies would do their damndest to chase me out of town and make my life a living hell. I can handle harsh. Especially on the internet, where I don't have to back up my words with my 150 pound rail for a body. |
Re: Follow up
DELETED - MISREAD THE HH. I suggested calling if the BB was the other shortstack, which I still beleive is clearly correct. |
Re: Follow up
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[ QUOTE ] Dude, you are (were) 2d stack. Horrible call. [/ QUOTE ] Scuba's range is any two. Calling an any 2 range with K3o is +1.1% $EV. Still horrible? [/ QUOTE ] for sure horrible call. If he had 4000 chips easy call. Are you serious? |
Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
My math was right- just probably different then what you use. I include the final pot
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Re: Follow up
I take back everything I said btw...I thought the hero was the other short stack.. Now I have to reexamine. I believe I'd lean towards folding now, as SB should be tighter in this situation. |
Re: Follow up
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Its a pretty easy call IMO against most decent players. To be honest I would never dream of folding in this spot in a $215. People who can't make ugly looking calls like this are going to have problems winning at sit and gos. [/ QUOTE ] ugh. i need to get better at SNGs. |
Re: Follow up
i think i fold here, but call with Ax and most pockets 44+ this is from my first instinct, will check numbers later ....is this bad?
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Re: I think this is right but scuba disagrees
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[ QUOTE ] good man, gl in miami, sorry to be so harsh. [/ QUOTE ] please. i've had citanul rip into me before. i even insulted SNCB knowing his cronies would do their damndest to chase me out of town and make my life a living hell. I can handle harsh. Especially on the internet, where I don't have to back up my words with my 150 pound rail for a body. [/ QUOTE ] haha, I'm starting to like you. |
Re: Follow up
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[ QUOTE ] Its a pretty easy call IMO against most decent players. To be honest I would never dream of folding in this spot in a $215. People who can't make ugly looking calls like this are going to have problems winning at sit and gos. [/ QUOTE ] ugh. i need to get better at SNGs. [/ QUOTE ] Please read my follow up post. I misread the HH. |
Re: Follow up
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I take back everything I said btw...I thought the hero was the other short stack.. Now I have to reexamine. I believe I'd lean towards folding now, as SB should be tighter in this situation. [/ QUOTE ] HOORAY. I thought i had to relearn everything about SNGs. My stupid 324923 buyin downswing is making me read too much into everything. |
Re: Follow up
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Its a pretty easy call IMO against most decent players. To be honest I would never dream of folding in this spot in a $215. People who can't make ugly looking calls like this are going to have problems winning at sit and gos. [/ QUOTE ] Well the equilibrium here is something like 61%/31%, so I guess by a "decent" player you mean someone who will push more than is game-theory optimal because he expects BB to fold too much? |
Re: Follow up
so this is a call with 2 paints, Ax or any pair?? If the stacks were reversed I call pretty quickly too.
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Re: Follow up
Ok time to delete my ORIGINAL POST
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Re: Follow up
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I take back everything I said btw...I thought the hero was the other short stack.. Now I have to reexamine. I believe I'd lean towards folding now, as SB should be tighter in this situation. [/ QUOTE ] thats good since I originally quoted you in my last reply. Didn't want to put words in your mouth though. |
Re: Follow up
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Ok time to delete my ORIGINAL POST [/ QUOTE ] sry, you posted follow-up while I was writing my post. folding as the other short stack would be silly. |
Re: Follow up
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Please read my follow up post. I misread the HH. [/ QUOTE ] All over it. I'm a whole step ahead (or behind) you. |
Re: Follow up
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I take back everything I said btw...I thought the hero was the other short stack.. Now I have to reexamine. I believe I'd lean towards folding now, as SB should be tighter in this situation. [/ QUOTE ] Why should SB be tighter? What calling range are you assuming Scuba will put BB on? |
Re: Follow up
wtf is scuba doing berating bad players!?!!?
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Re: Follow up
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[ QUOTE ] I take back everything I said btw...I thought the hero was the other short stack.. Now I have to reexamine. I believe I'd lean towards folding now, as SB should be tighter in this situation. [/ QUOTE ] Why should SB be tighter? What calling range are you assuming Scuba will put BB on? [/ QUOTE ] Cos of the other short stack. I am thinking Scuba would put BB on a 32-38%ish calling range if BB seems decent. |
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