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-   -   am i missing something (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=254410)

lightw1thoutheat 05-18-2005 02:29 AM

am i missing something
 
is this just a swing, or am i doing something wrong
aggro stats are 2.3/2.6/2.1
I've never had an 80+bb downswing.
http://i6.photobucket.com/albums/y24...t/funtimes.jpg

1028 hands vpip-17.61
vpip(sb)-29.55
Folded SB to steal-90, folded bb to steal-66.7
att to steal-16.4 won $ WSF-27.23
BB/100- -7.72
went to SD-27.2 Won at SD-48
PFR-9.05

i dont want sympathy (maybe a little bit), i just want to know whether the variance can be this high 8 tabling 2/4, or if im missing something (took a month off from playing).

thanks
light

damaniac 05-18-2005 02:33 AM

Re: am i missing something
 
The number of tables you play has no bearing on your variance. Playing more tables will hurt your winrate, very little to a lot depending on how much your play falls off and how much your reads weaken. And if you play long enough, you can expect to see downswings of at least 150BB (just had my first one in the last week), and sometimes more. There might be some old posts speculating as to how often you can expect one, or how likely they are to occur over x many hands. But keep studying, keep playing, cut back the number of tables if you need to, and don't become weak-tight just because you have been losing.

Lurker4 05-18-2005 02:45 AM

Re: am i missing something
 
80-100BB+ downswings are pretty common, and after a while you likely will have a 150-200BB downswing. The number of tables you are playing shouldn't affect your variance, think about it as playing 1 table but 8 times as fast. From a quick glance of your stats nothing looks too out of the ordinary, although it is only 1k hands so many of those stats are not close to converging.

Moozh 05-18-2005 03:09 AM

Re: am i missing something
 
Someday in the future you'll look back on this post and have yourself a little chuckle.

Bob T. 05-18-2005 04:42 AM

Re: am i missing something
 
am i missing something

Yes. Enough data to give this a second thought.


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