Winning 5 relative coin flips in a row
 

Played a SNG earlier today where I almost blew (well, I guess I did blow, but came back to win) a chip lead of 13,200 to 300. I don't have any problem figuring out the odds that I really suck at poker, but could someone please show me how to do the math on this....

After taking the commanding lead we played 5 hands all in preflop...he was favored everytime...65%, 51%, 57%, 65% and 55%. What are the odds that all 5 times his hand would hold up? Thanks.

Forgot to add...there where two hands after the ones above where I was favored...and lost...I was a 68% and 59% favorite.

Re: Winning 5 relative coin flips in a row
 

Each hand is independent. Just multiply the probabilities.

(.65)*(.51)*(.57)*(.65)*(.55)

Re: Winning 5 relative coin flips in a row
 

Are you saying he beat you 7 times in a row, doubling up each time? If so you ran out of chips.

Re: Winning 5 relative coin flips in a row
 

I didn't lose 7 hands in a row...but I lost 7 consecutive showdowns. I won a lot of small pots as my opponent was only playing quality hands and often folded to a preflop raise or a post flop bet.

Thanks to MCS for the math help.

Re: Winning 5 relative coin flips in a row
 

I had an S&G like that. I actually lost.

I remember afterwards just sitting there in stunned disbelief.

Let me guess. After the 4th showdown you were saying "You gotta be f&&king kidding me!!"