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-   -   Value bet this river? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=401068)

12-18-2005 11:43 PM

Value bet this river?
 
Yet another value bet hand ... sorry. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

PokerStars 5/10 Hold'em (6 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is Button with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
UTG calls, MP calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (5 SB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, MP calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, SB folds, BB calls, UTG calls, MP calls.

Turn: (6.50 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG checks, MP checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls, UTG calls, MP calls.

River: (10.50 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG checks, MP checks, Hero checks.

Final Pot: 10.50 BB

This gist of it is a bet here folds out any missed draws (ok, no value there). Anyone on a straight draw likely either made it or paired that T. I think in retrospect it is a very thin value bet, but I thought it would really suck to get raised here, because I can't fold in this pot, but I'm probably beat. But the fact that everyone checked to me on the river makes it even more likely I'm good, right?

jt1 12-18-2005 11:48 PM

Re: Value bet this river?
 
seems like a clear bet to me. You have 3 potential callers out there. There's a decent chance that two of them will call with a worse hand. The question is can you ever fold for just one more bet?

wheelz 12-19-2005 12:03 AM

Re: Value bet this river?
 
yes, bet. i think you can fold to a raise quite safely here. you're just not going to see a worse hand after a river c/r unless you're against a maniac.

UncleSalty 12-19-2005 12:30 AM

Re: Value bet this river?
 
[ QUOTE ]
yes, bet. i think you can fold to a raise quite safely here. you're just not going to see a worse hand after a river c/r unless you're against a maniac.

[/ QUOTE ]

100% agreement.

ArturiusX 12-19-2005 01:00 AM

Re: Value bet this river?
 
Yeah, bet again.

12-19-2005 03:01 AM

Re: Value bet this river?
 
My oh my, this is another easy one. I have made so many value bets today. They just keep calling with 2nd, 3rd, 4th pair, A-high. It is sweet lovin, I do declare. Value-bet those marginal hands into calling stations, as Ed says.


edit: J-high


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