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-   -   What are the odds on this: 3 sets and a str8 on the flop. (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=365754)

10-26-2005 08:00 AM

What are the odds on this: 3 sets and a str8 on the flop.
 
Bull !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Best hand on the flop wins nothing and worst hand wins it all. Bull !!!!!!!!!!!!
Hand History
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Please note: You can only view your own down cards. Other players will only see your cards if they were played through to showdown.


HAND DETAILS
Hand Number 121729655
Start Date 2005-10-26 04:59:48
End Date 2005-10-26 05:01:20
Pot Size $ 43.83
Rake $ 0.00
Game Type Hold'Em
Play Mode Real Money
Table Name Blitz
Structure None
Table Stakes Min Bet Max Bet Antes Blinds
$ 0.10 $ 0.10 $ 0.05 $ 0.10

Community Cards 3 4 7 8 3



PLAYER INFORMATION
Screen Name Seat position Cards Dealt Start/End Amount Total Bet Win/Loss Amount
scandler 1 7 7 $ 10.00 / $ 0.30 $ 9.90 $ -9.70
J7OWN 2 $ 4.00 / $ 3.70 $ 0.20 $ -0.30
King Arthur 3 $ 24.26 / $ 23.41 $ 0.85 $ -0.85
violater777 4 $ 39.52 / $ 39.52 $ 0.00 $ 0.00
seth_d 5 $ 14.91 / $ 14.91 $ 0.00 $ 0.00
booger3510 6 $ 6.60 / $ 5.20 $ 1.40 $ -1.40
srm80 7 3 3 $ 9.90 / $ 42.15 $ 9.90 $ 32.25
Infinest (Me) 8 6 5 $ 41.16 / $ 30.47 $ 10.69 $ -10.69
chiggity77 9 4 4 $ 10.69 / $ 1.38 $ 10.69 $ -9.31



HAND ACTIONS
Player Action Action Data Time Stamp
booger3510 Set dealer/Bring in spot 6 04:59:48
srm80 Ante/Small blind $ 0.05 04:59:48
Infinest Big blind/Bring in $ 0.10 04:59:48
scandler Post $ 0.10 04:59:48
J7OWN Post $ 0.10 04:59:48
scandler Card dealt to a spot 7 7 04:59:48
J7OWN Card dealt to a spot 04:59:48
King Arthur Card dealt to a spot 04:59:48
violater777 Card dealt to a spot 04:59:48
seth_d Card dealt to a spot 04:59:48
booger3510 Card dealt to a spot 04:59:48
srm80 Card dealt to a spot 3 3 04:59:48
Infinest Card dealt to a spot 6 5 04:59:48
chiggity77 Card dealt to a spot 4 4 04:59:48
chiggity77 Call $ 0.10 04:59:54
scandler Raise $ 0.20 04:59:59
J7OWN Call $ 0.20 05:00:01
King Arthur Call $ 0.30 05:00:07
violater777 Fold $ 0.00 05:00:09
seth_d Fold $ 0.00 05:00:09
booger3510 Call $ 0.30 05:00:13
srm80 Call $ 0.25 05:00:15
Infinest Call $ 0.20 05:00:16
chiggity77 Call $ 0.20 05:00:18
Betting round completed Last active pot = $2.10 05:00:18
Card dealt to table 3 4 7 05:00:18
srm80 Check 05:00:21
Infinest Check 05:00:23
chiggity77 Check 05:00:24
scandler Bet $ 0.55 05:00:33
J7OWN Fold $ 0.00 05:00:33
King Arthur Call $ 0.55 05:00:37
booger3510 Raise $ 1.10 05:00:37
srm80 All-in $ 9.60 05:00:46
Infinest All-in $ 40.86 05:00:48
chiggity77 All-in $ 10.39 05:00:59
scandler All-in $ 9.15 05:01:06
King Arthur Fold $ 0.55 05:01:06
booger3510 Fold $ 1.10 05:01:13
Infinest Return uncalled portion of bet $ 30.47 05:01:13
Betting round completed Last active pot = $0.00
Side pot 7 = $42.15
Side pot 1 = $0.30
Side pot 9 = $1.38 05:01:15
Card dealt to table 8 05:01:15
Betting round completed Last active pot = $0.00
Side pot 7 = $42.15
Side pot 1 = $0.30
Side pot 9 = $1.38 05:01:17
Card dealt to table 3 05:01:17
Rake amount $ 0.00 05:01:19
Betting round completed Last active pot = $0.00
Side pot 7 = $42.15
Side pot 1 = $0.30
Side pot 9 = $1.38 05:01:19
Infinest Showdown Show card: Straight
8 7 6 5 4 05:01:19
chiggity77 Showdown Show card: Full House
4 4 4 3 3 05:01:19
scandler Showdown Show card: Full House
7 7 7 3 3 05:01:19
srm80 Showdown Show card: Four of a Kind
3 3 3 3 8 05:01:19
scandler Hand result $ 0.30 05:01:19
srm80 Hand result $ 42.15 05:01:19
chiggity77 Hand result $ 1.38 05:01:19

graydot 10-26-2005 03:28 PM

Re: What are the odds on this: 3 sets and a str8 on the flop.
 
Give me a few hours, im gonna try to figure out whats going on in the thread..


.

.

.

ok lost interest.

Seriously, if you want some advice or comments, atleast make it presentable to others.

Quicksilvre 10-26-2005 03:34 PM

Re: What are the odds on this: 3 sets and a str8 on the flop.
 
Ouch, my eyes exploded. Please format it better.

Guernica4000 10-27-2005 05:16 AM

Re: What are the odds on this: 3 sets and a str8 on the flop.
 
[ QUOTE ]
Ouch, my eyes exploded. Please format it better.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'll do it for him.

..Blah Blah, Poker is rigged, blah, blah, I got bad beat, blah, blah, I am an idiot, blah, blah...

Salva135 10-27-2005 01:37 PM

Re: What are the odds on this: 3 sets and a str8 on the flop.
 
For the record, if this is an actual hand (and I'm not necessarily convinced that it is), this is pretty incredible. Three players flop a set and and a 4th player flops the nut straight, with one player hitting quads on the end. If you were going to rig a hand, that's about as beautiful as it gets. :-)

11-02-2005 12:53 AM

Re: What are the odds on this: 3 sets and a str8 on the flop.
 
[ QUOTE ]
For the record, if this is an actual hand (and I'm not necessarily convinced that it is), this is pretty incredible. Three players flop a set and and a 4th player flops the nut straight, with one player hitting quads on the end. If you were going to rig a hand, that's about as beautiful as it gets. :-)

[/ QUOTE ]


It is a actual hand. No lie! Do you think I could actually type all of that mess. Why would I do it? Just for fun? That is a copy and paste of a actual hand. No lie!

nanoCRUSHER 11-02-2005 08:54 AM

Re: What are the odds on this: 3 sets and a str8 on the flop.
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
For the record, if this is an actual hand (and I'm not necessarily convinced that it is), this is pretty incredible. Three players flop a set and and a 4th player flops the nut straight, with one player hitting quads on the end. If you were going to rig a hand, that's about as beautiful as it gets. :-)

[/ QUOTE ]


It is a actual hand. No lie! Do you think I could actually type all of that mess. Why would I do it? Just for fun? That is a copy and paste of a actual hand. No lie!

[/ QUOTE ]

If you want your question answered, post this in the probability forum. If you're looking for sympathy, please go elsewhere.

Precept2 11-02-2005 08:26 PM

Re: What are the odds on this: 3 sets and a str8 on the flop.
 
I've seen a similar hand in a live tourney at the Trop in AC that I eventually won. 12 left in tourney, so we're playing 6-handed.

Pre-flop:
UTG (which is me) has 66 and raises
SB has 22 and calls
BB has 33 and calls

Flop comes 6-3-2 Rainbow.
I bet.
SB Calls.
BB raises all-in.
I call.
SB folds & shows his trip dueces. I was pissed, because I should have taken them both out.

Anyway, here's the math:

The probability you flop a set is about .12 (which is about 7.2-to-1).

3 people flopping sets is (.12)(.12)(.12)=0.001728

You need 8 of the remaining 50 cards. Whichever one you get, you need 4 of the remaining 49 cards.

The Probability of flopping the 2-gut straight is (8/50)(4/49)=.013

The Probability of 3 people flopping sets & a 2-gut straight is (.12)(.12)(.12)(.013)=.00002351

If you didn't notice, I'm a math teacher who just happens to teach Probability & Statistics. I'm pretty sure those numbers are correct (even though they've been rounded slightly).

11-02-2005 09:24 PM

Re: What are the odds on this: 3 sets and a str8 on the flop.
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
For the record, if this is an actual hand (and I'm not necessarily convinced that it is), this is pretty incredible. Three players flop a set and and a 4th player flops the nut straight, with one player hitting quads on the end. If you were going to rig a hand, that's about as beautiful as it gets. :-)

[/ QUOTE ]


It is a actual hand. No lie! Do you think I could actually type all of that mess. Why would I do it? Just for fun? That is a copy and paste of a actual hand. No lie!

[/ QUOTE ]

If you want your question answered, post this in the probability forum. If you're looking for sympathy, please go elsewhere.

[/ QUOTE ]


Thanks for the guidiance.

11-02-2005 10:30 PM

Re: What are the odds on this: 3 sets and a str8 on the flop.
 
50:50. 50% that three people will flop sets and one a strait, and 50% that it won't happen.


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